Monday Night Football Computer Picks: Our Best Week 7 Player Prop Projections for Buccaneers vs Lions

Our best computer picks and NFL player prop projections for Tampa Bay vs. Detroit, highlighted by Sterling Shepard — and almost every pass-catcher available — having a good night.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Oct 20, 2025 • 09:46 ET • 4 min read
Buccaneers vs Lions computer picks Sterling Shepard
Photo By - Imagn Images. Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Sterling Shepard (17) catches the ball

The early leg of a Monday Night Football doubleheader is a shootout in the making with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers visiting the Detroit Lions.

Our NFL player prop projections have identified the best MNF prop values for this game, including plenty of passing inside Ford Field.

Buccaneers vs Lions computer picks for Monday Night Football

Buccaneers Buccaneers Lions Lions
Mayfield o19.5 rush -110 Goff o263.5 pass -110
White o49.5 rush -110 Gibbs o25.5 rec -130
Shepard o31.5 rec -110 St. Brown o78.5 rec -110
Otton u36.5 rec -110 LaPorta o47.5 rec -110

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Buccaneers MNF computer picks

Baker Mayfield Over 19.5 rushing yards (-110)

Projection: 20.25 yards

Our projections expect the Bucs QB to again use his legs this week, settling just above his rushing yardage line.

Rachaad White Over 49.5 rushing yards (-110)

Projection: 58.54 yards

After posting 65 yards last week, we're projecting White to top 50+ yards again as the RB1 with Bucky Irving injured.

Alternate-total bet
60+ yards (+125) - Shows a little bit of value.

Sterling Shepard Over 31.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 58.7 yards

Star receiver Mike Evans is back, but our projections are much higher on Shepard to blast past his low receiving total.

Alternate-total bet
60+ yards (+375) - This price shows tremendous value, as do 50+ yards (+235) and 40+ yards (+145).

Cade Otton Under 36.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 31.46 yards

Our projections are not as high on Otton, forecasting him to finish Under his total after two strong weeks.


More Buccaneers vs Lions picks from Covers


Lions MNF computer picks

Jared Goff Over 263.5 passing yards (-110)

Projection: 277.39 yards

This game is expected to be a shootout, so it's no surprise our projections like the Lions' QB to go above his passing yardage total tonight.

Alternate-total bet
275+ yards (+125) - Shows a moderate level of value.

Jahmyr Gibbs Over 25.5 receiving yards (-130)

Projection: 30.33 yards

Gibbs has hit 30+ receiving yards in every other game this season; this week lines up to be a 30+ effort... and our projections agree.

Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 78.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 87.58 yards

We're expecting another strong outing from the Detroit star receiver, projecting him to finish above his receiving line.

Sam LaPorta Over 47.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 54.58 yards

LaPorta has topped this number in two straight games and we're forecasting him to make it three straight tonight.

Not intended for use in MA.
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Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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