The Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit the Chicago Bears in Week 9, with several intriguing player prop opportunities on both sides.
Our Buccaneers vs. Bears computer picks break down eight model-backed projections, highlighting the best Over and Under opportunities for Sunday Night Football. Check out our Buccaneers vs. Bears predictions and NFL picks for more expert analysis.
Buccaneers vs Bears computer picks
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 Buccaneers |
 Bears |
|---|---|
| Mayfield 225+ passing yards - No 60% |
Williams 250+ passing yards - No 53% |
| Egbuka 50+ receiving yards - No 53% |
Burden 60+ receiving yards - No 46% |
| Irving 60+ rushing yards 57% |
Swift 60+ rushing yards 56% |
| Irving 15+ receiving yards 50% |
Loveland 6+ receptions - No 55% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Buccaneers vs Bears computer picks and projections
Buccaneers computer picks
Baker Mayfield 225+ passing yards - No
Projection: 183.29 passing yards
Our model projects Baker Mayfield for just 183.29 passing yards, comfortably below the 225-yard threshold. That's a 41.7-yard difference, creating a 26.06% expected-value edge and earning this selection a five-star rating.
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Emeka Egbuka 50+ receiving yards - No
Projection: 45.53 receiving yards
The model projects Emeka Egbuka for 45.53 receiving yards, falling 4.5 yards short of the 50-yard threshold. The Under carries a 23.88% expected-value edge and a five-star rating.
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Bucky Irving 60+ rushing yards
Projection: 72.26 rushing yards
Bucky Irving gets the nod on the ground, with the computer projecting 72.26 rushing yards against a 60-yard threshold. That's a 12.3-yard advantage, producing a 23.19% expected-value edge and a five-star rating.
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Bucky Irving 15+ receiving yards
Projection: 16.88 receiving yards
Irving also grades out as an Over candidate through the air.
His 16.88-yard projection sits 1.9 yards above the 15-yard threshold, creating a 21.35% expected-value edge. This selection receives a four-star rating.
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Bears computer picks
Caleb Williams 250+ passing yards - No
Projection: 203.94 passing yards
Caleb Williams is projected for 203.94 passing yards, a sizable 46.1-yard gap below the 250-yard threshold. That difference produces a 26.38% expected-value edge, the highest among these eight selections, and earns a five-star rating.
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Luther Burden III 60+ receiving yards - No
Projection: 53.20 receiving yards
Luther Burden III is projected for 53.20 receiving yards, 6.8 yards below the 60-yard threshold. The model assigns this Under a 25.90% expected-value edge and a five-star rating.
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D'Andre Swift 60+ rushing yards
Projection: 72.31 rushing yards
D'Andre Swift is projected to clear his 60-yard rushing threshold with 72.31 yards. The 12.3-yard difference gives this Over a 24.59% expected-value edge and a five-star rating.
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Colston Loveland 6+ receptions - No
Projection: 4.46 receptions
Colston Loveland is projected to finish with 4.46 receptions, comfortably below the six-reception threshold. The Under carries a 17.61% expected-value edge and a four-star rating.
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