The Cincinnati Bengals are priced as early 3.5-point favorites for Sunday's AFC North showdown with the Pittsburgh Steelers at Acrisure Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 1 p.m. ET.
My early Bengals vs Steelers prediction has the visitors staying perfect in a huge rivalry game in their division.
Find out more in my NFL picks for Sunday, Sept. 27.
Bengals vs Steelers predictions
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Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Early Bengals vs Steelers spread pick: Bengals -3.5
Play up to 55%.
The Cincinnati Bengals are a perfect 2-0, coming off an efficient 20-6 victory over the Houston Texans. Joe Burrow threw for two touchdowns, while Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins combined for 170 receiving yards against a talented Houston secondary.
The Pittsburgh Steelers' pass defense has been respectable so far, but containing both Bengals stars is a much tougher assignment.
I also like Cincinnati's matchup on the other side of the ball. The Bengals generated 27 pressures on 62 Houston dropbacks, while Pittsburgh's offense produced just 235 total yards and three points against New England.
If Cincinnati can consistently pressure Aaron Rodgers, I like the Bengals to create enough separation to cover 3.5.
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Early Bengals vs Steelers total pick: Under 42.5
Play up to 55%.
I'm leaning toward the Under here. Cincinnati has shown it can move the ball, but Pittsburgh has struggled, scoring just 23 points through two games. The Bengals' defense also just held Houston to six points while giving up very little on the ground.
Cincinnati had five different defenders record at least four pressures against Houston, and I could see that pass rush giving Aaron Rodgers real trouble on Sunday.
There's also some early support from the results, with three of the four games involving these teams finishing Under 42.5.
Bengals vs Steelers odds
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Bengals vs Steelers spread: Bengals -3.5
- Bengals vs Steelers moneyline: Bengals 64%, Steelers 37%
- Bengals vs Steelers Over/Under: 42.5
How to watch Bengals vs Steelers
- Date: Sunday, Sept. 27, 2026, 1 p.m. ET
- City: Pittsburgh, PA
- Venue: Acrisure Stadium
- TV: CBS
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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