The Atlanta Falcons are looking for their second straight prime-time upset after knocking off the Buffalo Bills last Monday, as they visit the San Francisco 49ers for the Week 7 edition of Sunday Night Football.
My Falcons vs. 49ers anytime touchdown picks are targeting Tyler Allgeier and Kendrick Bourne as I search for the best value on the board.
Make sure to also check out our full Falcons vs. 49ers predictions before kickoff!
Falcons anytime touchdown pick
Tyler Allgeier (+185 at FanDuel)
No team has run the ball more often than the Atlanta Falcons this year (31.8 attempts per game), so my attention instantly turned to Bijan Robinson to score a touchdown on SNF. But after crunching the numbers, it's actually his backup in Tyler Allgeier that my NFL picks are trusting to break the plane on Sunday night.
A Robinson TD might not be a bad add to a same-game parlay at -180, but it's hardly appealing as a straight-up wager, especially when you factor in the likelihood that Allgeier will "vulture" a score from him.
Allgeier has 12 red-zone rush attempts this year and three touchdowns, compared to 11 such attempts by Robinson and only two TDs. The difference is even more stark when you look at rushing attempts inside the 10-yard line, with Allgeier getting eight and Robinson just four.
When you factor in Allgeier's much more generous price, it's clear which running back is the best bet to score a TD here.
49ers anytime touchdown pick
Kendrick Bourne (+170 at FanDuel)
While the Falcons are as run-heavy as they come, the San Francisco 49ers are all gas and no brake when it comes to passing the ball, as they're second in pass attempts per game in 2025 (40.2).
Whether it's Mac Jones or Brock Purdy under center for San Francisco, my NFL player props believe Kendrick Bourne will find his way into the end zone.
Bourne has answered the bell as the the injury bug continues to bite the Niners. And while San Fran is getting healthier, with George Kittle expected to suit up for the first time since Week 1, Bourne is still a safe play at fairly healthy odds.
The nine-year veteran has seen 20 targets in his last two games alone, and he's hauled in 15 of those targets for a staggering 284 yards. Somehow, none of those grabs went for six points, but that could all change on Sunday.
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