The Denver Broncos welcome the Buffalo Bills to town to open the AFC Divisional round on Saturday afternoon.
Josh Allen leads the Bills as he looks to finally reach the NFL’s promised land, but he’ll face a Broncos team boasting a nasty defense and a rookie running back in RJ Harvey, who closed the season strong.
Those two players headline my Bills vs. Broncos anytime touchdown picks for January 17.
For more NFL picks, make sure to check out our full Bills vs. Broncos predictions!
Bills anytime touchdown pick
Josh Allen (-110 at FanDuel)
What’s a quarterback to do when his receiving corps is depleted by injuries, his running back is facing the NFL’s second-best run defense, and he still has to score against the league’s top red-zone efficiency defense?
When that quarterback is Josh Allen, the answer is simple: keep doing what he’s always done for the Buffalo Bills.
Last week, that meant scoring two of Buffalo’s three touchdowns with his legs via the tush push. One of those came after Allen nearly scored on a tush push that started from 10 yards out.
James Cook was held to 46 yards on 15 carries by Jacksonville’s elite run defense, and a similar script could unfold against the Denver Broncos. When the Bills get near the goal line, Allen remains their most dangerous weapon.
Allen has rushed for two touchdowns in each of his last two full games, and I love the -110 price for him to find the end zone again.
Broncos anytime touchdown pick
RJ Harvey (-135 at FanDuel)
With J.K. Dobbins still sidelined, RJ Harvey has seen a significant uptick in usage over the past six games, particularly in the passing game. That expanded role has paid off, as he’s scored in five of those six contests, finding the end zone six times in total.
Even with injuries in Buffalo’s secondary, the Bills’ pass defense remains solid. That should further tilt Denver toward the ground. Harvey leads the Broncos in carries inside both the 10-yard and 5-yard lines, putting him in a prime position to punch one in against this porous Buffalo run defense.
As a bonus, Harvey to score twice at +500 is worth a look. Travis Etienne Jr. caught a touchdown pass against Buffalo last week, and Harvey’s involvement as a receiver gives him a legitimate path to multiple scores.
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