The NFL preseason reaches its final weekend with one last chance to test our NFL AI predictions before the games start to count.
I used a custom forecasting process with the latest version of ChatGPT to project the final score of all 16 games this week. The process incorporates current quarterback rotations, expected playing time, injuries, roster depth, preseason performance, joint-practice context, and matchup data before turning those projections into ATS and Over/Under picks using the latest markets.
We'll continue making these predictions throughout the NFL regular season and playoffs. For now, these projections complement our NFL preseason Week 3 picks.
NFL AI picks for preseason Week 3
The following projections and analysis were generated by GPT-5.6 Sol using a custom forecasting protocol and current and historical information. They have been reviewed for factual accuracy and are intended for entertainment purposes.
| Matchup | ATS pick | O/U pick | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
vs. |
U34.5 | BUF 20-13 | |
vs. |
U34.5 | NE 19-14 | |
vs. |
U37.5 | LV 20-17 | |
vs. |
U38.5 | LAR 21-17 | |
vs. |
U34.5 | BAL 19-13 | |
vs. |
O36.5 | CAR 21-17 | |
vs. |
U36.5 | ATL 23-13 | |
vs. |
U35.5 | TB 21-13 | |
vs. |
U36.5 | NYG 20-16 | |
vs. |
U38.5 | DAL 24-13 | |
vs. |
O35.5 | ARI 20-17 | |
vs. |
O36.5 | SEA 24-16 | |
vs. |
U36.5 | PHI 20-10 | |
vs. |
O39.5 | DEN 23-17 | |
vs. |
U36.5 | IND 21-14 | |
vs. |
O36.5 | TEN 24-17 |
Lines courtesy of Kalshi as of Aug. 27 and subject to change.
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NFL preseason Week 3 AI predictions: Thursday
Steelers vs. Bills AI prediction
Josh Allen is officially sitting out Buffalo's preseason finale, putting the offense in the hands of Kyle Allen and Shane Buechele. Pittsburgh is also keeping Aaron Rodgers out and should devote most of its quarterback work to Drew Allar and Will Howard.
That makes this much more about reserve quarterback stability than either team's regular-season ceiling. Buffalo has the steadier four-quarter setup and gets the edge in a game projected to stay below the current total.
Score prediction: Bills 20, Steelers 13
Patriots vs. Browns AI prediction
Cleveland will be without both Deshaun Watson and Shedeur Sanders, pushing Dillon Gabriel and Taylen Green into the spotlight. New England can counter with Tommy DeVito getting another extended opportunity to run the offense.
The Patriots don't need much explosiveness to justify this projection. Their quarterback setup gives them the higher offensive floor in a game where sustained scoring could be difficult to find.
Score prediction: Patriots 19, Browns 14
49ers vs. Raiders AI prediction
Las Vegas still has legitimate evaluation work to complete at quarterback, with Fernando Mendoza and Aidan O'Connell expected to receive meaningful snaps after another brief appearance from Kirk Cousins. San Francisco has considerably less incentive to push its key players with several important offensive pieces dealing with injuries.
The 49ers' reserve offense has shown enough to keep this close, though. Las Vegas gets the narrow straight-up edge, but San Francisco stays inside the number.
Score prediction: Raiders 20, 49ers 17
Rams vs. Chargers AI prediction
Sean McVay will once again keep his established starters on the sideline, but the Rams have an appealing preseason quarterback setup with Stetson Bennett IV and Ty Simpson expected to get another extended audition.
Justin Herbert should see little, if any, meaningful work for the Chargers before Trey Lance and DJ Uiagalelei take over. The Rams' quarterback depth is strong enough to make them one of the better upset candidates on Thursday.
Score prediction: Rams 21, Chargers 17
NFL preseason Week 3 AI predictions: Friday
Commanders vs. Ravens AI prediction
Jayden Daniels is expected to get his most important work in joint practices rather than the preseason finale, while Lamar Jackson remains out for Baltimore. That leaves this game largely in the hands of each team's reserves.
Baltimore has offered the steadier defensive profile this preseason and gets a slight advantage in a matchup where neither offense projects to create many explosive opportunities.
Score prediction: Ravens 19, Commanders 13
Texans vs. Panthers AI prediction
C.J. Stroud is expected to get only a short appearance before Davis Mills and Brett Rypien take over for Houston. Carolina is sitting its starters entirely, putting much of its offense in the hands of Kyle Trask and the players competing for the final roster spots.
The Texans have the obvious early advantage if Stroud plays, but that represents only a small portion of the game. Over four quarters, the model gives Carolina just enough of an edge to pull off the upset at home.
Score prediction: Panthers 21, Texans 17
Falcons vs. Dolphins AI prediction
Atlanta is treating the finale more like a dress rehearsal than most teams, with Tua Tagovailoa set to start against his former team while Michael Penix Jr. remains out. Cooper Rush and Jack Strand give the Falcons additional options once Tagovailoa leaves.
Miami will start Malik Willis and continue evaluating its own quarterback depth, but the Falcons have the stronger combination of early-game personnel and reserve stability.
Score prediction: Falcons 23, Dolphins 13
Buccaneers vs. Jaguars AI prediction
Baker Mayfield is done for the preseason, turning Tampa Bay's finale into another test for Jake Browning and Jalon Daniels. Daniels has worked his way into a legitimate competition after creating consistent offense during his preseason opportunities.
Trevor Lawrence could receive limited work for Jacksonville, but most of this matchup will still be decided after the starters leave. Tampa Bay's reserve quarterback competition gives it the stronger four-quarter outlook.
Score prediction: Buccaneers 21, Jaguars 13
Giants vs. Jets AI prediction
Jaxson Dart's availability remains uncertain, but the Giants still have useful veteran depth behind him with Jameis Winston, Brandon Allen, and Jake Haener. Geno Smith should open for the Jets before their own backup competition takes over.
New York's two teams are separated by very little in this projection, but the Giants have the slightly deeper quarterback room and enough stability to create the deciding scoring opportunity late.
Score prediction: Giants 20, Jets 16
Saints vs. Cowboys AI prediction
Dak Prescott isn't playing, but Dallas has gotten useful preseason work from both Joe Milton III and Sam Howell. Milton's three-touchdown performance last week gives the Cowboys another encouraging data point as the two continue competing behind Prescott.
New Orleans enters with considerably more uncertainty after its reserve offense struggled against the Rams. With Tyler Shough still being protected, Dallas has the stronger quarterback outlook for the bulk of the game.
Score prediction: Cowboys 24, Saints 13
Cardinals vs. Packers AI prediction
Green Bay and Arizona already received important work during their joint practice, reducing the need for either side to lean heavily on established starters. Jordan Love is unlikely to handle much, if any, of the Packers' offense, while Carson Beck's status creates additional uncertainty for Arizona.
Gardner Minshew gives the Cardinals valuable veteran experience for exactly this type of preseason game. Arizona has enough quarterback stability to keep this close throughout and pull ahead late.
Score prediction: Cardinals 20, Packers 17
Seahawks vs. Chiefs AI prediction
Patrick Mahomes wanted to play, but Andy Reid has ruled him out. Kansas City will instead use its reserve quarterback group, while Seattle has spent the preseason getting consistent work from Drew Lock and Jalen Milroe.
That continuity matters in a finale dominated by backups. Lock provides a veteran floor, Milroe creates another dimension with his legs, and Seattle has the cleaner four-quarter quarterback plan.
Score prediction: Seahawks 24, Chiefs 16
Bengals vs. Eagles AI prediction
Cincinnati has officially finished its preseason work with the starters, leaving Josh Johnson and Sean Clifford to handle the offense. Philadelphia is unlikely to risk Jalen Hurts and can instead continue evaluating Tanner McKee and Andy Dalton.
Neither team has much incentive to open the playbook, but Philadelphia has the more trustworthy reserve-quarterback floor. That makes the Eagles the pick in one of the lower-scoring projections of the week.
Score prediction: Eagles 20, Bengals 10
Vikings vs. Broncos AI prediction
Minnesota is expected to keep its established starter out and could give J.J. McCarthy an extended opportunity to finish the preseason. Bo Nix is also unlikely to play for Denver, shifting the Broncos toward Sam Ehlinger and Jarrett Stidham.
The quarterback matchup is closer than the teams' regular-season outlooks would suggest, but Denver has the more settled developmental environment and the benefit of playing at home.
Score prediction: Broncos 23, Vikings 17
NFL preseason Week 3 AI predictions: Saturday
Lions vs. Colts AI prediction
Indianapolis has laid out one of the clearest quarterback plans of the week: Anthony Richardson is expected to start and play the first quarter, Riley Leonard takes the second, and Easton Stick handles the second half while Daniel Jones sits.
Detroit will keep its starters out and turn to Josh Dobbs and Luke Altmyer. Indianapolis' defined rotation provides more offensive upside across four quarters and gives the Colts the advantage at home.
Score prediction: Colts 21, Lions 14
Bears vs. Titans AI prediction
Chicago has little reason to push Caleb Williams after getting its important work completed, leaving much of the finale to Tyson Bagent, Case Keenum, and Miller Moss. Tennessee continues to take a more aggressive preseason approach, with Cam Ward expected to receive another appearance.
That commitment, combined with Tennessee's quarterback depth and home-field advantage, gives the Titans the final AI pick of the preseason.
Score prediction: Titans 24, Bears 17
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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