Bill Belichick may be the talk of college football as he makes his head coaching debut with the North Carolina Tar Heels, but the TCU Horned Frogs will be a tough test to kick off his tenure.
As Week 1 winds down, let's take a look at a variety of picks for this big-ticket clash from our betting experts.
Here are our best TCU vs. North Carolina predictions for Monday, September 1.
TCU vs North Carolina Week 1 predictions
- TCU -3.5 (-105 at FanDuel)
- Under 55.5 (-114 at FanDuel)
- Lopez u1.5 TD passes (-152 at FanDuel)
- Hoover o289.5 passing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
TCU vs North Carolina State best bets
TCU -3.5 (-105 at FanDuel)
Bill Belichick wasted no time revamping the North Carolina Tar Heels roster, but how quickly will all these new faces gel? It better be quick, according to Covers betting analyst Andrew Caley, because the TCU Horned Frogs are much better than most casual college football fans realize. Caley isn't convinced that Gio Lopez & Co. will hit the ground running for Belichick, partially because Sonny Dykes will field his best squad in four years at the Horned Frogs' helm.
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Under 55.5 (-114 at FanDuel)
Caley's also hitting the Under on the total, fading Belichick and Lopez's offense:
"The combination of so many new players trying to learn a new system, having to go up against an experienced and solid defense like TCU, makes me feel like UNC won't do its part to send this game Over."
TCU vs North Carolina TD pick
Gio Lopez Under 1.5 touchdown passes (-152 at FanDuel)
Meanwhile, Ed Scimia is also steering clear of the UNC offense, and new QB Gio Lopez, in particular, with his TCU vs. North Carolina player props.
"Lopez faces a TCU defense bringing back most of its starters and was strong last year, ranking 25th in yards allowed per play. Taking the Under on Lopez is the smart play, as expecting multiple scores through the air is unrealistic in his first week with UNC."
TCU vs North Carolina prop pick
Josh Hoover Over 289.5 passing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
But that doesn't mean scoring and offense will be at a premium. TCU quarterback Josh Hoover returns alongside one of his most explosive weapons, WR Eric McAlister, and both players offer upside with their Overs.
"Hoover threw for 290+ yards on six different occasions last year, and he has a wealth of talent in the receiving corps. Clutch option Eric McAlister is back, while transfers including Jordan Dwyer a Joseph Manjack IV will add proven depth."
TCU vs North Carolina odds
TCU vs North Carolina game info
| Location: | Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC |
| Date: | Monday, September 1, 2025 |
| Kickoff: | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN |
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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