After going 2-1 with last week's totals, I'm looking to keep the momentum rolling into Week 10 with three more games that have caught my eye.
This week's college football Over/Under picks feature two potential shootouts out West and a heavyweight Big Ten clash that could turn into a defensive battle.
For more analysis, check out our college football picks.
Week 10 college football Over/Under picks
| Matchup |  |
|---|---|
 Oregon vs  Ohio State |
u45.5 |
 Boise State vs  Colorado State |
o68.5 |
 Texas State vs  Oregon State |
o70.5 |
Market probabilities courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Expert Week 10 CFB Over/Under picks
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Oregon vs Ohio State: Under 45.5
Both teams are dealing with quarterback changes, and that matters in a matchup featuring two defenses capable of controlling the game. Ohio State allows just 273.5 yards per contest and fewer than 100 rushing yards, making life difficult for Oregon's ground attack.
The Ducks have also played three of their last four games to 32 combined points or fewer. With both offenses facing difficult assignments and less certainty under center, I'm expecting field position and long drives to matter more than explosive scoring plays.
Boise State vs Colorado State: Over 68.5
Colorado State's defense has been a weekly invitation to score, allowing 42.4 points and 526.4 yards per game. That's a major problem against a Boise State rushing attack averaging nearly 223 yards per contest.
Broncos quarterback Maddux Madsen is questionable with a knee injury, but backup Max Cutforth threw three touchdowns in relief last week.
Boise State remains a 17.5-point favourite, while Colorado State averages 35.5 points per game and faces a vulnerable Broncos secondary. There's still plenty of scoring potential here, even if Madsen sits.
Texas State vs Oregon State: Over 70.5
These offenses average a combined 78.2 points and more than 1,000 yards per game, giving us plenty of reasons to chase another shootout. Oregon State averages 40.1 points and 383.4 passing yards, while Texas State scores 38.1 per game and allows nearly 300 yards through the air.
The Bobcats' last game finished 46-45 against Boise State, and Oregon State has topped 78 combined points in multiple recent matchups. I expect both teams to move the ball consistently enough to clear 70.5.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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