Oregon vs Indiana Computer Picks: Our Best CFP Semifinal Player Prop Projections

Our CFB player prop projections aren't big on the QBs going Over their yardage totals, but there is value to be found in the wide receivers in this Big Ten showdown.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Jan 9, 2026 • 09:31 ET • 4 min read
Oregon vs Indiana computer picks Jeremiah McClellan
Photo By - Imagn Images. Oregon Ducks wide receiver Jeremiah McClellan (11) runs after making a catch.

The second leg of the CFP semifinal round is the big-ticket matchup, with the two highest seeds remaining squaring off as No. 5 Oregon takes on No. 1 Indiana in the Peach Bowl.

We've found the best CFP prop values for this all-Big Ten showdown, thanks to our college football player prop projections, for tonight at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta.

Oregon vs Indiana computer picks for CFP Semifinal

Oregon Oregon Indiana Indiana
Moore u216.5 pass
-114
Mendoza u208.5 pass
-114
Hill o32.5 rush
-114
Black u65.5 rush
-114
McClellan o19.5 rec
-114
Cooper o43.5 rec
-114
Sadiq o38.5 rec
-114
Sarratt o50.5 rec
-114
Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Oregon computer picks

Dante Moore Under 216.5 passing yards (-114)

Projection: 204.55 yards

We're projecting Moore's five-game Over streak to end in the semis, as he falls below his total against a stout Hoosiers defense.

🏈 Bet Moore Passing yards now

Dierre Hill Jr. Over 32.5 rushing yards (-114)

Projection: 43.14 yards

With Jordon Davison out, Hill steps up to be the second half of Oregon's backfield tandem alongside Noah Whittington. We're projecting both to go Over their rushing totals, but there's more value in Hill.

Alternate-total bet
40+ yards (+130) - This prop shows great value.

🔥 Bet Hill rushing yards now

Jeremiah McClellan Over 19.5 receiving yards (-108)

Projection: 30.55 yards

We don't see much value in Oregon's WR1, but we like its second receiver to top a yardage total he's surpassed in four of his last five games.

Alternate-total bet
30+ yards (+182) - There is also strong value in this price.

🔥 Bet McClellan receiving yards now

Kenyon Sadiq Over 38.5 receiving yards (-114)

Projection: 39.98 yards

We have the Ducks' trusty TE projected right around his posted total, finishing slightly Over.

🔥 Bet Sadiq receiving yards now

Indiana computer picks

Fernando Mendoza Under 208.5 passing yards (-114)

Projection: 199.27 yards

The Heisman Trophy winner has finished below this number in two of his last three games, and we're projecting him to finish Under again tonight.

🏈 Bet Mendoza passing yards now

Kaelon Black Under 65.5 rushing yards (-114)

Projection: 56.96 yards

We don't expect IU's 1B running back to thrive against the Ducks, as we're putting him below his posted rushing total — the highest number he's had since September.

🏈 Bet Black rushing yards now

Omar Cooper Jr. Over 43.5 receiving yards (-114)

Projection: 58.3 yards

We're expecting Indiana's receiving yards leader to have a strong showing in Atlanta, finishing well above his posted yardage total.

Alternate-total bet
60+ yards (+174) - This prop shows a little bit of value.

🔥 Bet Cooper receiving yards now

Elijah Sarratt Over 50.5 receiving yards (-114)

Projection: 61.5 yards

The projection for the Hoosiers' WR2 is also favorable, as we like him to surpass his receiving line.

Alternate-total bet
60+ yards (+128) - This price has good value.

🔥 Bet Sarratt receiving yards now

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo