The Miami Hurricanes barely made the College Football Playoff. Now they are favored to make the national championship game.
The Mississippi Rebels have fewer offensive assistant coaches with each passing Playoff round, yet their offense could hold the key to their title hopes.
My Miami vs. Mississippi predictions trust the Hurricanes more, mostly because of their defense.
Our best Miami vs Mississippi SGP for Fiesta Bowl
Miami has notched 12 sacks in two Playoff games, despite going against stout offensive lines in Texas A&M and Ohio State. Expecting that to continue is only half the reason to back the Hurricanes.
The other half comes from recognizing that Mississippi’s is distinctly the worst defense Miami has faced in the Playoff, and it is a defense particularly susceptible against the run, ranking just No. 45 in the country in rushing defense EPA, per CFB-graphs.com.
Thus, the Hurricanes' leaning on running back Mark Fletcher Jr. should both give their defensive ends some rest and spur Fletcher past this rushing prop for the third straight Playoff game. Similar logic goes toward expecting star receiver Malachi Toney to find the end zone for the fifth game of his last six.
Miami vs Mississippi SGP
- Miami -3.5
- Mark Fletcher Jr. Over 88.5 rushing yards
- Malachi Toney anytime touchdown
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