Iowa State vs TCU Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today — College Football Week 11

Jones' prediction: Expect Josh Hoover to win the quarterback battle and lead the Horned Frogs past the Cyclones.

Jeremy Jones - Contributor at Covers
Jeremy Jones • Betting Analyst
Nov 8, 2025 • 12:36 ET • 4 min read

NCAAF

Match starts: 1 hrs
TCU
62 %
ISU
38 %
Read Analysis
Josh Hoover TCU Horned Frogs NCAAF
Photo By - Imagn Images. Texas Christian University Horned Frogs quarterback Josh Hoover (10) throws a pass.

The Iowa State Cyclones have dropped four straight and appear to be unraveling. They’ll look to regroup on Saturday when they travel to Fort Worth to take on the 6-2 TCU Horned Frogs.

My Iowa State vs. TCU predictions and college football picks believe the Horned Frogs will keep outside hopes to win the Big 12 alive on November 8.

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Iowa State vs TCU prediction

Iowa State vs TCU best bet: TCU -6.5 (-122)

After starting 5-0 and having real hopes for the College Football Playoff, the Iowa State Cyclones have now lost four straight games. Only one of those four games were against a ranked opponent. The TCU Horned Frogs are probably better than three of those four opponents. 

The Horned Frogs lost two of three a month ago and likely thought their hopes for the Big 12 were gone. But now after consecutive wins and a schedule that allows them to play two teams ahead of them in the standings, their hopes are back alive if they can win this game. 

TCU’s offense is much more explosive than Iowa State's and the Cyclones defense has really fallen apart over their last four games. After allowing an average of 14.2 points per game in their first five games, they have allowed 31.8 over the last four. TCU has scored at least 23 points in every game this season. 

The Cyclones are 0-3 against the spread on the road and the Horned Frogs are 3-1 ATS at home. TCU needs this game badly, and they will play like it against a struggling defense. 

Iowa State vs TCU same-game parlay

To add to my best bet, I am going to include both quarterbacks to hit their passing totals. 

Josh Hoover averages nearly 300 yards per game, and Rocco Becht has hit this number in three of his last five games.

Iowa State vs TCU SGP

  • TCU -6.5
  • Josh Hoover Over 273.5 passing yards
  • Rocco Becht Over 222.5 passing yards 

Our deep-ball SGP: One-sided affair

Becht will rack up the yards, but he only has 11 passing touchdowns in nine games this year, and has only thrown for multiple touchdowns in a game in one of the last seven. 

Iowa State vs TCU SGP

  • TCU -6.5
  • Josh Hoover Over 273.5 passing yards
  • Rocco Becht Over 222.5 passing yards 
  • Rocco Becht Under 1.5 passing TDs

Iowa State vs TCU game predictions

Iowa State vs TCU moneyline prediction

TCU needs this win and will get it done at home against a reeling Iowa State squad. 

Iowa State vs TCU spread prediction

TCU is going to score enough to cover this spread and win by at least a touchdown.

Iowa State vs TCU Over/Under prediction

Most of the sharp money is on the Over here with 48% of the money on the Over despite only 26% of the bets.

Iowa State vs TCU odds

  • Spread: Iowa State +6.5 | TCU -6.5
  • Moneyline: Iowa State +210 | TCU -255
  • Over/Under: Over 57.5 | Under 57.5

Iowa State vs TCU trend to know

Iowa State has only covered the spread in two of its last eight away games. Find more college football betting trends for Iowa State vs TCU.

How to watch Iowa State vs TCU

Location Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
Date Saturday, November 8, 2025
Kickoff 3:30 p.m. ET
TV FOX

Iowa State vs TCU latest injuries

Iowa State vs TCU weather

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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Jeremy Jones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jeremy Jones was born and raised in Lexington, Kentucky and has been a massive Wildcats fans since the moment he came into the world. He wrote his first sports article at the tender age of 11 after attending a local AHL hockey game, and a few years later was writing professionally for sites such as Sports Rants, BetAmerica, and TwinSpires.

Jeremy holds a Masters in Sports Administration from Eastern Kentucky University and utilizes all seven betting options available in Kentucky to shop for odds and promos and find the greatest EV in every wager he places.

His best piece of sports betting advice is to stick to consistent unit sizes for every wager. He acknowledges there will occasionally be a bet that has a huge EV and you can play multiple units in one bet, but cautions against raising your unit size, because you can quickly lose all your winnings if you hit a minor cold streak.

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