Saturday’s college football anytime touchdown picks target five distinct matchup advantages, including two mobile quarterbacks and three receivers with clear scoring equity.
Kwazi Gilmer offers the best combination of role and price, while Devin McCuin provides a cheaper way into Ohio State’s elite passing attack. Check out all of our college football picks for Week 7.
Best Week 7 college football anytime touchdown picks
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| Pick | Probability |
|---|---|
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Pick #1: Kwazi Gilmer anytime touchdown
Kwazi Gilmer leads the team with 32 catches, 418 yards, and six receiving touchdowns, while Nebraska ranks 29th nationally in passing EPA. Oregon is much stronger against the run than its 51st-place ranking in defensive passing EPA, and it sits 77th in explosive-pass prevention.
That pushes Nebraska toward its best receiver if the expected trailing script develops. Oregon is also coming off a seven-turnover loss, so there should be little appetite to sit on the ball. Gilmer’s route volume and red-zone ownership justify laying the price.
- Matchup: Oregon vs. Nebraska
- Date/Time: Saturday, Oct.17 at 11 p.m. ET.
- Location: Autzen Stadium, Eugene, Ore.
- TV: FOX
Pick #2: Devin McCuin anytime touchdown
I think the Ohio State Buckeyes are tired of it.
Ohio State has spent all week hearing about last season’s 13-10 Big Ten title-game loss to Indiana, giving this top-five rematch a real edge.
The market naturally centers on Jeremiah Smith and Bo Jackson, but Devin McCuin has earned 21 targets, caught 17, and scored twice across five FBS games. His 81% target success rate ranks fifth nationally, and Ohio State is second in passing EPA.
Indiana is 24th against the run but only 76th against the pass, making the air the cleaner scoring path. McCuin has a steady role in an offense expected to create repeated red-zone possessions, and this price leaves room to target the secondary receiver instead of paying heavily for one of the stars.
- Matchup: Ohio State vs. Indiana
- Date/Time: Saturday, Oct.17 at 12:00 p.m. ET.
- Location: Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, Ind.
- TV: FOX
Pick #3: Ethan Grunkemeyer anytime touchdown
Ethan Grunkemeyer has recorded 16 non-sack rushes over five games and converted four into touchdowns. The matchup favors the quarterback keeper: Georgia Tech ranks 102nd in rushing EPA allowed, 132nd in explosive-run prevention, and 95th in stuff rate.
Virginia Tech is favored by double digits, and sustained drives should put Grunkemeyer at multiple goal-line decisions. The Yellow Jackets are also coming off an emotional upset of an unbeaten opponent, which could make it hard to match the Hokies’ urgency.
- Matchup: Virginia Tech vs. Georgia Tech
- Date/Time: Saturday, Oct.17 at 3:30 p.m. ET.
- Location: Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, Va.
- TV: ACC Network
Pick #4: Jaden Greathouse anytime touchdown
Notre Dame enters a top-10 road environment with an unbeaten record, where red-zone execution matters more than raw yardage. Jaden Greathouse scored from three yards out last week and remains a leverage piece behind the offense’s higher-profile options.
The Irish rank sixth nationally in passing EPA, while BYU’s overall pass defense ranks 32nd. The crack appears near the goal line, where the Cougars rank last nationally in defensive red-zone passing success.
That is where Greathouse’s size, alignment flexibility, and trust with the quarterback become more valuable than his 17 season targets suggest. In a game carrying playoff weight and offering fewer easy possessions, Notre Dame should lean on its most rehearsed scoring concepts.
- Matchup: Notre Dame vs. BYU
- Date/Time: Saturday, Oct. 17 at 7:30 p.m. ET.
- Location: LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo, Utah
- TV: ABC
Pick #5: Kevin Jennings anytime touchdown
SMU returns from its bye with a ranked number beside its name and, perhaps, renewed belief in a special season. I'll take its QB to lead the charge.
Kevin Jennings ran for a touchdown in the Mustangs’ last game, and he's scored twice on 24 non-sack carries this season. The matchup raises the likelihood of another keeper.
Virginia ranks 114th nationally in rushing EPA allowed and 121st in defensive red-zone rushing success, while its pass defense is the stronger half of the unit. That invites SMU to use Jennings as the extra blocker-accounting problem near the goal line.
Virginia is still searching for its first road win, and an SMU offense with two weeks to self-scout should have a dedicated red-zone answer for its quarterback.
- Matchup: SMU vs. Virginia
- Date/Time: Saturday, Oct.17 at 12:00 p.m. ET.
- Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, Texas
- TV: The CW
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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