Photo By - Imagn Images. Alabama Crimson Tide quarterback Ty Simpson (15) celebrates a win.
Are you bold enough to trust the Indiana Hoosiers? Few seem to be, simply because of their name and history. Yet they are the only unbeaten team in the country and are about to face the immensely flawed Alabama Crimson Tide.
Still, my Alabama vs. Indiana predictions put some faith in the Tide in the College Football Playoff quarterfinals, though only a measured amount.
Our best Alabama vs Indiana SGP for the Rose Bowl
One could argue Indiana should be favored by double digits. Advanced metrics certainly make that argument. The combination of Alabama’s pedigree and the Tide’s explosive offense brings this spread down as low as a touchdown at some sportsbooks.
That explosive offense works only when Alabama forsakes the run. When the Tide get desperate enough, their passing game could make the Rose Bowl interesting.
In other words, once the Hoosiers are up two scores in the second half, look for Alabama to start throwing the ball with abandon. That thought creates a game state of a backdoor cover, knocking the game Over its total as Ty Simpson throws a couple of late touchdown passes.
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Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.
In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.
While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.
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