The Alabama Crimson Tide travels to Athens for a showdown with the Georgia Bulldogs under the bright lights of Sanford Stadium.
With plenty at stake, this game promises to be one of the better games of the Saturday night slate.
Before you go ahead and lock in your Alabama vs. Georgia predictions, check out what our experts have to say as they bring you their favorite college football picks for September 27.
Alabama vs Georgia Week 5 predictions
- Alabama moneyline (+128 at FanDuel)
- Under 52.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
- Nate Frazier Over 53.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
- Isaiah Horton anytime TD (+310 at FanDuel)
Alabama vs Georgia best bets
Alabama moneyline (+128 at FanDuel)
Opponents do not like throwing against either of these defenses.
Alabama ranks No. 3 in rush rate over expected, while Georgia sits at No. 18. On the surface, those sound relatively comparable, but look at the actual rates.
Crimson Tide opponents run the ball 22.0% more often than would be expected from an average offense in a given game state, while the Bulldogs' opponents do so 8.9% more often. There is a noticeable difference in how the defenses force that issue.
The Tide offense might not throw as often on Saturday as it normally does, but the Bulldogs may have to abandon the air entirely, especially given that their quarterback remains Gunner Stockton. As soon as an underdog can force an opponent into a one-dimensional offense, there is value in the moneyline.
But then add in Alabama’s ruthlessly efficient offense as it converts quality drives into points at the fifth-best rate in the country. The Tide turn 60% of their possessions into scoring opportunities, averaging 4.5 points per trip.
Compare that to the Bulldogs’ 50% and 4.19 points per opportunity.
Those may seem small margins, but small margins where it matters most should be weighted heavily.
Two strong indicators like that are enough to encourage this moneyline bet despite the looming environment of Sanford Stadium.
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Under 52.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
The Under has to be the play in this matchup.
While neither defense has played up to expectations at this point, on paper, these are two of the best defensive units in the country and should be well-prepared for this matchup.
Alabama vs Georgia prop pick
Nate Frazier Over 53.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
One player who should have success is Georgia running back Nate Frazier, who is listed with a rushing yardage prop of 53.5.
Frazier is averaging 63 yards per game as the top weapon in the ground game for the Bulldogs. He’s averaging 3.3 yards after contact per attempt and should be relied upon as a trusted playmaker in a massive tilt.
Alabama has shown weakness on the ground, ranking 95th in EPA per rush and 94th in tackling (per PFF). The defensive line has failed to get much push (107th in line yards, 109th in stuff rate), so there should be lanes for Frazier to exploit before forcing would-be tacklers to miss.
The Bulldogs rank 19th in rushing success rate, so they should rely upon the ground game in this matchup.
The Crimson Tide haven’t been perfect in coverage this season, but the strength of the defense will likely end up being the secondary. That should mean that Frazier gets his allotment of touches en route to picking up yardage on the ground.
Alabama vs Georgia TD pick
Isaiah Horton anytime TD (+310 at FanDuel)
Isaiah Horton has settled into his role with the Alabama offense quite well and has had touchdowns in consecutive games. He's a 6-foot-4 matchup nightmare, facing a Georgia secondary that got destroyed by Chris Brazzell II.
At a price of +310 to score anytime, this is a no-brainer value play. He caught a touchdown in the red zone against Wisconsin, and he showed time and again last season at Miami that he is lethal on fade routes near the goal line.
Alabama vs Georgia odds
Alabama vs Georgia game info
| Location: | Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA |
| Date: | Saturday, September 27-2025 |
| Kickoff: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ABC |
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