West Virginia vs Oklahoma Picks and Predictions: Mountain Too High to Climb

After two emotional losses, the Mountaineers and their reeling defense find themselves between a rock and a hard place on the road against Tanner Groves and the Oklahoma Sooners. Read our college basketball betting preview to see how it plays out.

Chris Gregory - Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Chris Gregory • Publishing Editor
Mar 1, 2022 • 11:29 ET • 4 min read
Tanner Groves Oklahoma Sooners college basketball
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

West Virginia (14-15, 3-13) will look to shed a six-game funk when it heads to Norman for a date with the Oklahoma Sooners (15-14, 5-11) tonight.

The Sooners were able to snap a four-game skid of their own with a win over Oklahoma State on Saturday and will look to go two-for-two against the Mountaineers tonight as 5-point home favorites.

Find out who has the ATS edge in our free college basketball picks and predictions for West Virginia vs. Oklahoma.

West Virginia vs Oklahoma odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Sooners hit the board as 5.5-point home favorites against the visiting Mountaineers but you can find anything between -4.5 and -5.5 across different books.

The total is in a similar boat. It opened at 135.5 but can now be found anywhere between 135 and 137. Shop around before locking in your picks.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.

West Virginia vs Oklahoma predictions

Predictions made on 3/1/2022 at 12:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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West Virginia vs Oklahoma game info

Location: Lloyd Noble Center, Norman, OK
Date: Tuesday, March 1, 2022
Tip-off: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN2

West Virginia at Oklahoma betting preview

Injuries

West Virginia: No injuries to report.
Oklahoma: Elijah Harkless (Out).

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Over is 15-3 in West Virginia's last 18 games. Find more NCAA betting trends for West Virginia vs. Oklahoma .

West Virginia vs Oklahoma picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

The Big 12 gauntlet hasn't been kind to either of these teams. The Mountaineers have lost six straight and 13 of their last 14 while the Sooners have lost seven of nine including a four-game skid that ended over the weekend in a win over Oklahoma State.

With a combined eight conference wins, these are the bottom-feeders of the Big 12, but who will have the edge tonight?

These squads did battle just over a month ago, which resulted in a 72-62 Sooners win as 2.5-point road dogs at WVU Coliseum. Tanner Groves led the way with 21 points and six boards on 9-11 shooting.

This time around, OU is in its own gym and should have a couple of sizable advantages that should lead them to another win and cover.

To start, the Mountaineers are in a really tough schedule spot after two emotional losses at Iowa State (84-81) and at home against Texas (82-81), both games that could and should be in the win column.

They're now tasked with going back on the road against an experienced Sooners team that — despite its poor conference record — plays much better at home (10-5 SU) and is strong defensively, ranking 37th in adjusted defensive efficiency, per KenPom.

On the flip side, West Virginia's defense has been absolutely dreadful of late, allowing 78.8 points over its last six games (more on that later) and the Sooners — who rank fifth in the nation in 2-point percentage — can take advantage.

Both squads sit just inside the Top 80 in KenPom's offensive efficiency ratings but as mentioned above, it's Oklahoma's work on the defensive end that gives them a huge edge.

The Mountaineers — sitting well outside the Top 200 in almost every shooting statistic — will be in tough against a Sooners defense that allows under 65 points per game and kept WVU to just 38% shooting in the first matchup.

These are the worst teams in the Big 12, but WVU has just a little too much to overcome if they want to be in this game late. Lay the points with Tanner Groves and the Sooners at home.

Prediction: Oklahoma -4.5 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

West Virginia's current run of Overs is the stuff of blockbuster films.

Okay, maybe not... but it's damn impressive. The Mountaineers are 18-11 to the Over on the season and a mindboggling 15-3 over their last 18 games, due in large part to their defense. 

And while the defense has been trending down for a few weeks now, it gets even worse on the road where they're allowing just a shade under 80 points per game (!) across their last eight road contests.

The January 26 matchup went Over and, with the way WVU's defense has played of late, this one should go Over once again.

Prediction: Over 135 (-110)

Best bet

West Virginia is the worst team in the Big 12, is in a much worse spot than they were in the first matchup, and now has to go back on the road.

They're also 0-5 ATS in its last five meetings with the Sooners. Lay the number.

Pick: Oklahoma -4.5 (-110)

College basketball parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our West Virginia vs. Oklahoma picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our college basketball parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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