Vanderbilt vs Arkansas Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

No. 15 Vanderbilt may look like the better team on paper, but after a pair of recent losses, No. 20 Arkansas is in position to catch the Commodores while they’re slipping.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jan 20, 2026 • 14:06 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 5 hrs
ARK
61 %
VAN
39 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Arkansas -1.5 (-110) Arkansas -1.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Darius Acuff Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Arkansas Razorbacks guard Darius Acuff Jr (5) celebrates after a foul call.

The No. 20 Arkansas Razorbacks welcome the No. 15 Vanderbilt Commodores to the Bud Walton Arena on Tuesday night. 

Both of these ranked teams have looked vulnerable lately and my Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas predictions are backing the home-side in what should be a close game.

Here are my best free college basketball picks for this SEC showdown on January 20.

Vanderbilt vs Arkansas prediction

Vanderbilt vs Arkansas best bet: Arkansas -1.5 (-110)

The Vanderbilt Commodores were a perfect 16-0 entering last week but dropped back-to-back games to fall out of the Top 10. Meanwhile, the Arkansas Razorbacks have lost two of their last three.

Both teams like to push the pace with guard-oriented lineups and they take care of the ball while shooting extremely well. However, there are a couple of key reasons why I like Arkansas here.  

The Razorbacks rely heavily on threes which makes their offensive production more sustainable at home where they've gone 10-0.

Meanwhile, Vanderbilt has been getting killed on the glass in conference play and could struggle with Arkansas' superior length.

The Razorbacks are also 83rd in free throw rate (39.8%) while ranking 29th in opponent FT rate (27.8%).

The Dores sit outside the Top 300 in opponent FT rate (43%) and sending foes to the charity stripe is a recipe for a loss in a game with a spread this small. 

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Vanderbilt vs Arkansas same-game parlay

The Razorbacks elite attack has been led by point guard Darius Acuff who is averaging 19.8 points and 6.3 assists per game. The five-star freshman has dropped 6+ dimes in nine of his last 11 games.

Arkansas' biggest flaw has been interior defense with the Razorbacks 236th in opponent two-point percentage (53.1%).

Vanderbilt's top scorers are perimeter players but 244-pound forward AK Okereke has stepped up lately, scoring 10+ points in four of his last five games.

Vanderbilt vs Arkansas SGP

  • Arkansas -1.5
  • Darius Acuff Jr. Over 5.5 assists
  • AK Okereke Over 9.5 points

Our beyond the arc SGP: Thomas dominates the boards

In a fast-paced game with a ton of threes, there should be plenty of long rebounds for Arkansas guard Meleek Thomas. The 6-foot-5 freshman has snagged a total of 10 boards over the last two contests.

Vanderbilt vs Arkansas SGP

  • Arkansas -1.5
  • Darius Acuff Jr. Over 5.5 assists
  • AK Okereke Over 9.5 points
  • Meleek Thomas Over 3.5 rebounds

Vanderbilt vs Arkansas odds

  • Spread: Vanderbilt +1.5 | Arkansas -1.5
  • Moneyline: Vanderbilt +105 | Arkansas -125
  • Over/Under: Over 174 | Under 174

Vanderbilt vs Arkansas betting trend to know

The Razorbacks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games at home. Find more college basketball betting trends for Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas.

How to watch Vanderbilt vs Arkansas

Location Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, AR
Date Tuesday, January 20, 2026
Tip-off 9:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Vanderbilt vs Arkansas key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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