The Texas Longhorns face off against the No. 13 Alabama Crimson Tide tonight.
Although the Tide are an offensive juggernaut, I'm targeting their lax defense in my Texas vs. Alabama predictions.
Here are my best college basketball picks for this SEC showdown on Saturday, January 10.
Texas vs Alabama prediction
Texas vs Alabama best bet: Texas team total Over 83.5 (-120)
This is the typical Alabama Crimson Tide team that we've gotten used to in the Nate Oats era. They play at a blazing-fast pace and rely on their offense to carry them, with defense an afterthought. We saw that in their most recent game when they lost 96-90 to Vanderbilt.
The Tide are outside the Top 300 in ppg allowed (82.1) and have surrendered 84+ points against eight opponents. They'll also be missing two of their best defenders in guard Latrell Wrightsell and rim protector Aiden Sherrell.
Meanwhile, the Texas Longhorns sit 22nd in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency while shooting 56.7% inside the arc. They take care of the ball and crash the offensive boards, while leading the nation in free-throw rate.
Bama has struggled in all three areas, ranking 339th in opponent TO rate and outside the Top 200 in defensive rebounding rate and opponent FT rate.
With the Longhorns generating second chances on the glass and getting trips to the charity stripe, back them to eclipse their team total.
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Texas vs Alabama same-game parlay
Dailyn Swain leads the Longhorns in points (15.6), rebounds (7.1), and assists (3.5) per game. The do-everything forward has logged 4+ assists in seven of his last nine games. He should go Over his assists total if Texas eclipses its team total.
Alabama freshman Amari Allen has seen his playing time surge over the last month and has responded with 8+ boards in six of his last seven games.
Texas vs Alabama SGP
- Texas team total Over 83.5
- Dailyn Swain Over 3.5 assists
- Amari Allen Over 7.5 rebounds
Our beyond the arc SGP: Rising Tide!
Even if the Tide leak points on defense, there's a good chance that their elite offense can still carry them to a halftime lead at home.
Texas vs Alabama SGP
- Texas team total Over 83.5
- Dailyn Swain Over 3.5 assists
- Amari Allen Over 7.5 rebounds
- 1H Alabama moneyline
Texas vs Alabama odds
- Spread: Texas +11.5 | Alabama -11.5
- Moneyline: Texas +525 | Alabama -750
- Over/Under: Over 177.5 | Under 177.5
Texas vs Alabama betting trend to know
The Longhorns have hit the team total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.40 Units / 33% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Texas vs. Alabama.
How to watch Texas vs Alabama
| Location | Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL |
| Date | Saturday, January 10, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Texas vs Alabama key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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