The Memphis Tigers host the South Florida Bulls in their final home game of the regular season tonight.
The Bulls are clearly the better team, but my South Florida vs. Memphis predictions and college basketball picks are backing the home side.
South Florida vs Memphis prediction
South Florida vs Memphis best bet: Memphis +6.5 (-110)
The Memphis Tigers are in a buy-low spot after going 0-6 SU and ATS in their last six games.
The Tigers are at home, where they've gone 10-5 this season, and they're in desperation mode. Coach Penny Hardaway is on the hot seat, and they can't afford another loss if they want to make the conference tournament.
Meanwhile, the South Florida Bulls' stock is at a sell-high point, and they have little to play for since they've already clinched the regular season title and a tournament bye. Expect a low-effort performance from USF to result in a Memphis cover.
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South Florida vs Memphis same-game parlay
The Tigers play strong perimeter defense, forcing turnovers at the 43rd highest rate in the country while ranking 17th in opponent 3PT% (30%). They'll need to lean on that D if they want to be competitive, and that likely means the Under cashing.
That elite 3-point defense should contain USF sharpshooter Joseph Pinion, who has hit fewer than 3.5 threes in eight of his last 10 games.
South Florida vs Memphis SGP
- Memphis +6.5
- Under 160.5
- Joseph Pinion Under 3.5 threes
Our beyond the arc SGP: Dug from deep
USF defends the interior extremely well but is vulnerable at the arc, allowing the second-highest opponent 3PT% (35%) in conference play. Dug McDaniel leads Memphis in scoring (13.7 ppg) and threes (41), while knocking down two treys in back-to-back games.
South Florida vs Memphis SGP
- Dug McDaniel Over 1.5 threes
- Memphis +6.5
- Under 160.5
- Joseph Pinion Under 3.5 threes
South Florida vs Memphis odds
- Spread: South Florida -6.5 | Memphis +6.5
- Moneyline: South Florida -300 | Memphis +240
- Over/Under: Over 160.5 | Under 160.5
South Florida vs Memphis betting trend to know
The Under has cashed in six straight games for the Bulls. Find more college basketball betting trends for South Florida vs. Memphis.
How to watch South Florida vs Memphis
| Location | FedExForum, Memphis, TN |
| Date | Thursday, March 5, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN2 |
South Florida vs Memphis key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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