Purdue vs Iowa Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Rosales' prediction: Big Ten rivalry game turns into a shootout.

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Feb 14, 2026 • 09:02 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 6 hrs
PUR
57 %
IOWA
43 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o142.5 (-116)
Read Analysis
NCAAM Purdue Boilermakers Braden Smith
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Purdue Boilermakers guard Braden Smith (3) shoots a 3-point shot.

The Purdue Boilermakers seek a sixth straight win over the Iowa Hawkeyes when the Big Ten rivals collide today.

With both teams in a groove offensively, my Purdue vs. Iowa predictions and college basketball picks will focus on the total, where the Over is in play.

Purdue vs Iowa prediction

Purdue vs Iowa best bet: Over 142.5 (-116)

The Iowa Hawkeyes boast the top scoring defense in the Big Ten, but the Purdue Boilermakers have already proven they can puncture that shell, beating them 79-72 earlier this year.

During Purdue’s five-game win streak over Iowa, the two teams have combined to cruise past the 142.5-point total, crossing 150 points every time.

Both are shooting better than 50% from the field, and are Top 30 in 3-point shooting.

This will be the seventh straight game Iowa has had a scoring line set at 142.5 points or lower, with the Over cashing five of the previous six times.

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Purdue vs Iowa same-game parlay

Senior guard Bennett Stirtz went for 32 points against Maryland, giving him three 30+ point games in his last four. But Stirtz has yet to go big on the big stage, failing to crack 20 points in four games vs. ranked teams, including 19 against Purdue earlier this season.

Braden Smith has only dished out eight assists twice in his last seven games, but he’s had at least eight dimes in three of his last four against the Hawkeyes.

Purdue vs Iowa SGP

  • Over 142.5
  • Bennett Stirtz Under 22.5 points
  • Braden Smith Over 7.5 assists

Our beyond the arc SGP: The Stirtz and Smith show

Stirtz has pulled down at least three rebounds in five of his last eight games, including three last time vs. Purdue.

I like Smith’s shooting from distance of late, as he’s hit at least two triples in seven of his last nine games.

Purdue vs Iowa SGP

  • Over 142.5
  • Bennett Stirtz Under 22.5 points
  • Bennett Stirtz Over 2.5 rebounds
  • Braden Smith Over 7.5 assists
  • Braden Smith Over 1.5 3-point makes

Purdue vs Iowa odds

  • Spread: Purdue -2 | Iowa +2
  • Moneyline: Purdue -155 | Iowa +130
  • Over/Under: Over 142.5 | Under 142.5

Purdue vs Iowa betting trend to know

Iowa has just one loss at home this season. Find more college basketball betting trends for Purdue vs. Iowa.

How to watch Purdue vs Iowa

Location Carver-Hawkeye Arena, Iowa City, IA
Date Saturday, February 14, 2026
Tip-off 5:00 p.m. ET
TV FOX

Purdue vs Iowa key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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