Oklahoma State vs TCU Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's Big 12 Tournament Game

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 11, 2026 , 03:57 PM ET • 4 min read

Ponnaiya's prediction: Xavier Edmonds has been a model of consistency for TCU over the last two months, and he'll continue his strong work on the boards tonight.

NCAAB

Match starts: 3 hrs
OKST
28 %
TCU
72 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Xavier Edmonds o9.5  Rebounds (-120) Xavier Edmonds o9.5 Rebounds (-120)
Read Analysis
TCU Horned Frogs college basketball Xavier Edmonds
Photo By - Reuters Connect. TCU Horned Frogs forward Xavier Edmonds looks for a shot.

The second round of the Big 12 Tournament wraps up tonight with a clash between the No. 14 seed Oklahoma City Cowboys and the No. 6 seed TCU Horned Frogs.

My Oklahoma State vs. TCU predictions are backing Horned Frogs forward Xavier Edmonds to have a big game.

Check out my college basketball picks for this conference tournament clash on Wednesday, March 11.

Oklahoma State vs TCU prediction

Oklahoma State vs TCU best bet

Oklahoma State vs TCU best bet: Xavier Edmonds Over 9.5 rebounds (-120)

Xavier Edmonds has emerged as the TCU Horned Frogs’ top player down the stretch. The 6-foot-8, 245-pound forward has grabbed double-digit rebounds in 10 of his last 13 games — including both previous matchups with the Oklahoma State Cowboys.

The Cowboys rank ninth in the country in adjusted tempo. That blistering pace, combined with poor rebounding, has them sitting outside the top 300 in rebounds allowed per game.

On top of that, Oklahoma State's leading rebounder Parsa Fallah suffered a season-ending injury two weeks ago. Without the 6-foot-10 Fallah in the lineup, Edmonds is poised to dominate the interior.

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Oklahoma State vs TCU same-game parlay

The Horned Frogs rank 19th in the country in adjusted defense and apply enough ball pressure to contain OSU’s up-tempo attack. They held the Pokes to 65 points in the first meeting this season, and while TCU allowed 84 points in regulation in the rematch, 27 of those came from Fallah.

Since we’re fading the Pokes on their team total, let’s also take the Under 4.5 assists for point guard Kanya Clary, who has failed to top this number in five of his last seven games.

Oklahoma State vs TCU SGP

  • Xavier Edmonds Over 9.5 rebounds
  • Oklahoma State team total Under 75.5
  • Kanye Clary Under 4.5 assists

Our beyond the arc SGP: The X-Factor

With their blazing-fast tempo, the Pokes rank 342nd in scoring defense (82.5 ppg), so let's take Edmonds to eclipse his scoring prop. 

Oklahoma State vs TCU SGP

  • Xavier Edmonds Over 15.5 points
  • Xavier Edmonds Over 9.5 rebounds
  • Oklahoma State team total Under 75.5
  • Kanye Clary Under 4.5 assists

Oklahoma State vs TCU odds

  • Spread: Oklahoma State +6 (-110) | TCU -6 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Oklahoma State +220 | TCU -270
  • Over/Under: Over 158 (-110) | Under 158 (-110)

Oklahoma State vs TCU betting trend to know

The Horned Frogs have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Oklahoma State vs. TCU.

How to watch Oklahoma State vs TCU

Location T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO
Date Wednesday, March 11, 2026
Tip-off 9:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPNU

Oklahoma State vs TCU key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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