March Madness Predictions: Our Best Parlay for the Elite Eight

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 28, 2026 , 01:27 PM ET • 4 min read

Ed Scimia's parlay picks for the Elite Eight see UConn keeping things close with Duke on Sunday.

UConn Huskies NCAAM Tarris Reed Jr.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. UConn Huskies forward Tarris Reed Jr. in college basketball action.

The NCAA Tournament rolls on, and while there aren’t as many games to pick from in the Elite Eight, there are still opportunities for parlay bettors in the quarterfinals. 

My March Madness picks have found two teams that I believe can take full advantage of the weaknesses in their opposition, as well as an underdog that I think has what it takes to cover this weekend.

Read on for my best March Madness parlay for the Elite Eight this weekend.

March Madness Elite Eight parlay

Illinois -7

Arizona -6

Connecticut +5

It’s been a great run through the tournament for the Iowa Hawkeyes, including the most important upset of the tournament when they knocked off the Florida Gators last weekend. But the Illinois Fighting Illini are an offensive juggernaut that Iowa will struggle to contain on Saturday.

Illinois ranks second nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and is averaging 82.0 ppg during the tournament. The Illini have already beaten the Hawkeyes once this year, a six-point victory in Iowa back in January.

Iowa is the weakest team remaining in the field, and their Cinderella run will end in the Elite Eight.

No team has ripped though the first three rounds of the tournament quite like the Arizona Wildcats, who have won their first three games by an average of 22.3 ppg. The Wildcats put up 109 points against Arkansas in the Sweet 16, a continuation of a season in which they are averaging 86.7 ppg and shooting 50.4% from the field.

Arizona is good enough to pounce on any slight weakness, and at this stage, defense stands out as a relative issue for the Purdue Boilermakers.

They rank 36th in adjusted defensive rating, the lowest of any team remaining in the field. The Wildcats also have the defense to contain the Boilermakers, holding opponents below 40% shooting on the season.

Arizona has answers for everything Purdue has to offer, and should cover in another convincing win.

The Duke Blue Devils remain a leading candidate to win the national championship next weekend, but they’ve been getting by more than dominating in this tournament. A six-point win over the Siena Saints was concerning, and the 80-75 win over the St. John’s Red Storm added to a run in which the Blue Devils have gone just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games.

The Connecticut Huskies haven’t been an underdog since they beak the BYU Cougars back in November. They also play a slower, punishing style that holds opponents to an average of 65.0 ppg.

Even if the Blue Devils can find a way to squeak out another victory, UConn has the tools to keep this game close, which is why I’m taking the Huskies to cover.

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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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