Indiana vs Ohio State Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst +18 years betting experience
Updated: Mar 7, 2026 , 01:37 PM ET • 4 min read

Farmer's prediction: John Mobley and the Buckeyes will get few perimeter shots against the Hoosiers.

NCAAB

Match starts: 2 hrs
IND
38 %
OSU
62 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
John Mobley u2.5  3 Point FG (-140) John Mobley u2.5 3 Point FG (-140)
Read Analysis
John Mobley Ohio State Buckeyes college basketball
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Ohio State Buckeyes guard John Mobley (0).

The Indiana Hoosiers need a win this evening more than the Ohio State Buckeyes do, but the Hoosiers’ tailspin of late does not warrant much faith.

My Indiana vs. Ohio State predictions and college basketball picks seem like they are doubting the Buckeyes, but they are mostly recognizing the style of game that the Hoosiers will insist upon on Saturday, March 7.

Indiana vs Ohio State prediction

Indiana vs Ohio State best bet: John Mobley Under 2.5 threes (-140)

Although Ohio State sophomore guard John Mobley is an excellent shooter, he won’t get many looks against Indiana tonight.

Indiana gives up 3-point attempts at the third-lowest rate in the Big Ten, and the odd thing about Ohio State is that it does not relish shooting from deep in its own right, ranking No. 12 in the conference in 3-point attempt rate.

That combination will stifle Mobley’s chances.

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Indiana vs Ohio State same-game parlay

Indiana has gone just 2-6 against the spread in its last eight games, including 0-3 ATS as an underdog.

Even as the Hoosiers grind games down to a halt, they are falling short.

Indiana vs Ohio State SGP

  • John Mobley Under 2.5 threes
  • Ohio State -4
  • Under 148.5

Our beyond the arc SGP: Mobley Manages

The question isn’t about Mobley’s overall ability; it’s whether he’ll get opportunities from deep.

Indiana should have no problem giving him looks inside the arc.

Indiana vs Ohio State SGP

  • John Mobley Under 2.5 threes
  • John Mobley Over 16.5 points
  • Ohio State -4
  • Under 148.5

Indiana vs Ohio State odds

  • Spread: Indiana +4 (-110) | Ohio State -4 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Indiana +150 | Ohio State -180
  • Over/Under: Over 148.5 (-110) | Under 148.5 (-110)

Indiana vs Ohio State betting trend to know

Ohio State has gone 5-1 ATS in its last six games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Indiana vs. Ohio State.

How to watch Indiana vs Ohio State

Location Value City Arena, Columbus, OH
Date Saturday, March 7, 2026
Tip-off 5:30 p.m. ET
TV FOX

Indiana vs Ohio State key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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