Despite trailing in this first-round series, 3-2, the Denver Nuggets are actually favored to win it.
That is what comes from the Minnesota Timberwolves losing their starting backcourt in Game 4.
These Nuggets vs. Timberwolves predictions and NBA picks expect Minnesota to throw the kitchen sink at Nikola Jokic & Co. in Game 6 on Thursday, April 30.
Nuggets vs Timberwolves prediction
Nuggets vs Timberwolves best bet: Nikola Jokic Under 29.5 points (-112)
At the very least, Denver Nuggets’ superstar Nikola Jokic has looked tired in this series. He found more space inside in Game 5 and had his first efficient game of the series, yet Jokic still scored only 27 points.
And that is not because he played significantly fewer minutes. For someone so upset about a last-second layup in Game 4, Jokic still made a show of trying to embarrass a Minnesota Timberwolves’ rookie in the final seconds of Game 5.
Jokic played more than 37 minutes, and his 27 points stand out — especially since that’s his high-water mark in this series.
Credit Rudy Gobert. He has matched Jokic’s physicality and minutes this series, making the Serbian’s life miserable.
The Timberwolves should play their most aggressive defense of the series in Game 6. It’s stronger with Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo on the floor, but it can still hold up without them.
And even if it doesn’t show up, there hasn't been any evidence that Jokic has the energy to post a 30-point masterpiece the way he so often has in the past.
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Nuggets vs Timberwolves same-game parlay
There is distinct logic in expecting the Nuggets’ role players to come up short on the road, thus turning a few potential Jokic assists into nothing but missed shots.
Such missed shots should help Minnesota’s transition game, which needs to be a key piece of the Timberwolves’ offense.
Nuggets vs Timberwolves SGP
- Nikola Jokic Under 29.5 points
- Nikola Jokic Under 9.5 assists
- Timberwolves +5.5
Nuggets vs Timberwolves odds for Game 6
- Spread: Nuggets -5.5 (-110) | Timberwolves +5.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Nuggets -240 | Timberwolves +195
- Over/Under: Over 225.5 (-110) | Under 225.5 (-110)
Nuggets vs Timberwolves betting trend to know
Denver has fallen short of its team total in four of the five games in this series. Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves.
How to watch Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 6
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Thursday, April 30, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Nuggets vs Timberwolves latest injuries
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