Missouri seems like a lock to make the NCAA Tournament right now and that means that Georgia has far more to play for when the teams meet on Thursday, March 11 in SEC Tournament action. The Bulldogs are nowhere near the bubble right now and they’re going to need to win a bunch of conference tournament games in order to give themselves an opportunity to advance, starting with the Tigers.
This game will be played at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee, and it will tip at 7:00 p.m. ET. Here are our best college betting picks and predictions for No. 10 seed Georgia vs. No. 7 Missouri.
Georgia vs Missouri odds
Sharp money and line movement reportBy Patrick Everson
TwinSpires has Missouri up to -6.5 from a -5.5 opener, with ticket count running 2/1 and money 3/1 on the Tigers as of 3:30 p.m. ET. The total has been fairly stable today, opening at 153 and nudging to 153.5, with the Under getting 53 percent of bets/60 percent of cash.Check out the full line movement for this game
Georgia Bulldogs vs Missouri Tigers betting preview
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Betting trend to know
Georgia is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games as an underdog. Find more NCAA betting trends for Georgia vs. Missouri.
Against the spread (ATS) pick
When Georgia and Missouri met on February 16, the Bulldogs earned an 80-70 victory as 2.5-point home underdogs. Georgia was scorching hot in that game, shooting 46.7 percent from the outside, while Missouri was a miserable 6 for 26 from deep. Those numbers should even out a bit this time but the Bulldogs have shown that they're capable of hanging with the Tigers, and Georgia should be the more motivated team when these teams take the floor.
The Bulldogs know that their tournament chances rely on them making a run this week and they should feel confident in their ability to make some noise. This team hasn’t been great as of late, but Georgia does have wins over Missouri, LSU, and Kentucky this year, and the team also stayed close in a loss to Tennessee. There's nobody in this conference that is head and shoulders ahead of the Bulldogs, so look for them to be hungry.
The last time these two teams played, Georgia got 37 points out of its trio of Sahvir Wheeler, K.D. Johnson, and Toumani Camara. The three of them actually average 40.4 points per game on the season, so there's room for improvement from the Bulldogs’ best players. That’s a good sign, as the rest of the supporting cast is unlikely to shoot as well as it did in that last meeting.
Look, Georgia is no lock to win this game in any way, shape, or form. But the Bulldogs are going to be underdogs in this one, and they can absolutely keep it close.
PREDICTION: Georgia +5.5 (-110)
These teams combined for 150 points the last time they played, and that was in a game where a good Missouri backcourt just couldn’t get going from deep.
The Tigers’ three starting guards combined to go 4 for 16 from the outside in that contest, and there’s no doubt they’ll be a bit better this time around. Meanwhile, while Georgia was uncharacteristically hot in that game, the Bulldogs should still be able to put up around 70 in this contest. Overall, the Over just seems like the better play.
PREDICTION: Over 153.5 (-110)
Georgia vs Missouri betting card
- Georgia +5.5 (-110)
- Over 153.5 (-110)
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