Cincinnati vs Utah Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's Big 12 Tournament Game

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 10, 2026 , 12:47 PM ET • 4 min read

The Bearcats surged on offense towards the end of the regular season and should torch a Utes squad that has the worst defense in the Big 12.

NCAAB

Match starts: 46 mins
UTAH
48 %
CIN
52 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
Cincinnati o74.5 (-120)
Read Analysis
Cincinnati Bearcats college basketball Moustapha Thiam
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Cincinnati Bearcats center Moustapha Thiam dunks the ball.

The ninth-seeded Cincinnati Bearcats face the No. 16 seed Utah Runnin' Utes in the first round of the Big 12 Tournament today.

The Utes have the lowest-rated defense in the conference and my college basketball picks expect the Bearcats to take advantage. Here are my Cincinnati vs. Utah predictions for March 10.

Cincinnati vs Utah prediction

Cincinnati vs Utah best bet

Cincinnati vs Utah best bet: Cincinnati Team Total Over 74.5 (-120)

The Cincinnati Bearcats ended the regular season with a 73-63 loss to TCU. However, they entered that contest red-hot, winning six of their previous seven and scoring 84+ points in five of those games. 

Cincinnati scored just 69 points at home against the Utah Utes last month but went 4-15 from deep so expect positive regression. Especially since Utah ranks dead-last in league play in opponent eFG% (55.9%) and opponent TO rate.

Since the start of February, the Bearcats are third in the conference in eFG% (55.6%) while ranking fourth in turnover rate and offensive rebounding.

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Cincinnati vs Utah same-game parlay

Center Moustapha Thiam was held to just eight points and five boards in Cincinnati's regular season finale. However, Thiam had averaged 20.8 ppg and 10.4 rpg in his previous five games.

He should bounce back against a Utes squad that sits outside the top 300 in opponent two-point percentage (54.8%) and struggles on the glass.

Cincinnati vs Utah SGP

  • Cincinnati Team Total Over 74.5
  • Moustapha Thiam Over 15.5 points
  • Moustapha Thiam Over 7.5 rebounds

Our beyond the arc SGP: Cincinnati Surge

Jalen Celestine went just 1-3 from the arc in the previous clash with Utah but has been given the green light to shoot since. He has attempted 8+ threes in three of his last five games while knocking down more than 2.5 threes in four of those contests.

Cincinnati vs Utah SGP

  • Cincinnati Team Total Over 74.5
  • Moustapha Thiam Over 15.5 points
  • Moustapha Thiam Over 7.5 rebounds
  • Jalen Celestine Over 2.5 threes

Cincinnati vs Utah odds

  • Spread: Cincinnati -11 | Utah +11
  • Moneyline: Cincinnati -700 | Utah +500
  • Over/Under: Over 137.5 | Under 137.5

Cincinnati vs Utah betting trend to know

The Bearcats have covered the first half spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.05 Units / 28% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Cincinnati vs. Utah.

How to watch Cincinnati vs Utah

Location T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO
Date Tuesday, March 10, 2026
Tip-off 3:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN+

Cincinnati vs Utah key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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