The Big 12 Tournament begins with a clash between the Baylor Bears and Arizona State Sun Devils this afternoon.
The Sun Devils finished one game above the Bears in the conference standings, and my Arizona State vs. Baylor predictions expect them to cover as underdogs.
Here are my college basketball picks for March 10.
Arizona State vs Baylor prediction
Arizona State vs Baylor best bet
Arizona State vs Baylor best bet: Arizona State +4 (-110)
The Arizona State Sun Devils are 9-3 against the spread over their last 12, with wins against Cincinnati, Texas Tech, and Kansas.
The Baylor Bears beat ASU 73-68 last month, but that was in Waco where they had a sizzling 65.7 eFG%. Since they shoot significantly worse in away games (48.3 eFG%) than at home (59.3 eFG%), expect regression today.
The Bears rank 15th in conference play in turnover rate, which is bad news against an ASU squad sitting fourth in opponent TO rate.
The Sun Devils also have the advantage inside, where they can exploit Baylor's lack of size.
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Arizona State vs Baylor same-game parlay
The Sun Devils are led by guard Moe Odum, who averages 17.1 points per game on 41/39/83 shooting splits. He's knocked down more than 2.5 threes in 11 of his last 12 games, and Baylor ranks just 271st in the country in opponent 3-point percentage (35.5%).
Since the start of February, Baylor has been dead last in the conference in opponent 2-point percentage (57.3%). That sets up nicely for 6-foot-11 forward Santiago Trouet, who has cleared 7.5 points in six of his last 10 games.
Arizona State vs Baylor SGP
- Arizona State +4
- Moe Odum Over 2.5 threes
- Santiago Trouet Over 7.5 points
Our beyond the arc SGP: Sun Devils rise
Baylor has a puny lineup with subpar 6-foot-9 center Caden Powell being the only starter taller than 6-foot-5. So let's bet on ASU to control the paint and back 7-foot-1 center Massamba Diop to eclipse his rebounds, helping the Sun Devils win outright.
Arizona State vs Baylor SGP
- Arizona State moneyline
- Moe Odum Over 2.5 threes
- Santiago Trouet Over 7.5 points
- Massamba Diop Over 6.5 rebounds
Arizona State vs Baylor odds
- Spread: Arizona State +4 | Baylor -4
- Moneyline: Arizona State +155 | Baylor -185
- Over/Under: Over 154.5 | Under 154.5
Arizona State vs Baylor betting trend to know
The Sun Devils are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Arizona State vs. Baylor.
How to watch Arizona State vs Baylor
| Location | T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO |
| Date | Tuesday, March 10, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 12:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN+ |
Arizona State vs Baylor key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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