It’s a rematch of last season’s Western Conference semifinals tonight as the Golden State Warriors host the Minnesota Timberwolves — with one major twist.
Steph Curry played just 13 minutes of that series before limping off with a hamstring injury, but he’s back to lead the Golden State offense here, and my Timberwolves vs. Warriors predictions signal a big night for No. 30.
Get the lowdown with my NBA picks for Friday, December 12.
Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction
Timberwolves vs Warriors best bet: Steph Curry Over 24.5 points (-115)
We’ll never know how far the Golden State Warriors might have gone in last year’s playoffs with a healthy Stephen Curry, but it’s already clear that Golden State needs his scoring more than ever this season.
So Steve Kerr must be breathing a sigh of relief that Curry will return tonight from his latest injury — his quad — to give the Warriors’ offense a spark.
The NBA Cup break provided extra rest for Steph, and we should see the benefits of that here. He averaged 28.4 points per game in November, passing the 30-point mark five times, and this prop line feels low, even against the Minnesota Timberwolves’ perimeter stoppers.
Curry scored 30+ points in all three regular-season matchups with Minnesota last year, and he’ll likely take on a bigger share of the ball-handling tonight with Draymond Green ruled out.
Prior to the loss against the Houston Rockets, in which Steph picked up the quad injury, he had knocked down 6+ 3-pointers in three straight outings, and his 12 attempts per game from beyond the arc is his highest mark since the 2020/21 season.
It’ll be no easy task to shake free of Jaylen Clark and Jaden McDaniels, but Curry is no stranger to being shadowed around the court. With the Warriors relying on his veteran savvy, Steph is a good bet to deliver.
Timberwolves vs Warriors same-game parlay
Though Anthony Edwards was listed as questionable on the injury report, I’m expecting Ant to be out there tonight, adding to the offensive firepower. The Over has been a winning ticket in three of the last four meetings between these teams, and it’s 4-2 in Minnesota’s past six contests.
With Green and Al Horford missing for Golden State, the T-Wolves should have no trouble finding clean looks.
For some of the same reasons, I’ll also take the Over on Rudy Gobert’s rebound haul. The Warriors are short-handed in the frontcourt, and Gobert can do damage on the glass at both ends. He’s had double-digit boards in six of his last 10 games.
Timberwolves vs Warriors SGP
- Steph Curry Over 24.5 points
- Rudy Gobert Over 9.5 rebounds
- Over 231.5
Our "from downtown" SGP: Mc-Sniper!
Jaden McDaniels is hitting his 3-pointers at a stunning 46% clip this year, and he’s drilled 2+ triples in four of his past seven contests.
He’ll never be a high-volume marksman, but the shots are often wide open with Edwards and Julius Randle drawing a crowd. Pencil him in for a couple more here.
Timberwolves vs Warriors SGP
- Steph Curry Over 24.5 points
- Rudy Gobert Over 9.5 rebounds
- Over 231.5
- Jaden McDaniels Over 1.5 made threes
Timberwolves vs Warriors odds
- Spread: Timberwolves +1.5 (-110) | Warriors -1.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Timberwolves +105 | Warriors -125
- Over/Under: Over 224.5 (-110) | Under 224.5 (-110)
Timberwolves vs Warriors betting trend to know
Minnesota is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games, but 5-1 SU in its past six outings. Find more NBA betting trends for Timberwolves vs. Warriors.
How to watch Timberwolves vs Warriors
| Location | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA |
| Date | Friday, December 12, 2025 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FDSN-North, NBCS-Bay Area |
Timberwolves vs Warriors latest injuries
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