It’s a somewhat light night of NBA action with just five games on the board for hungry basketball bettors to dig into, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t plenty of value to be found in the player prop market.
Tonight, I look for Damian Lillard to keep contributing as a facilitator and Jordan Clarkson to bounce back after a tough road trip while continuing to fade the Nets on the glass vs. the Kings.
Here are my best NBA player prop bets for Tuesday, November 15.
NBA player props for November 15
Picks made on 11/15/2022 at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Today’s best NBA player props
The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.
Dame the dimer
Damian Lillard came come out firing for the upstart Portland Trail Blazers this season and now he’s getting his teammates involved in the action as well. The Portland point guard looks like a solid bet to keep dishing out the dimes in tonight’s matchup against the San Antonio Spurs.
Lillard is averaging 6.0 assists per game to go along with nearly 30 points but he has really made an added effort to get his teammates the ball recently. Lillard has dished out 25 assists over his last three games and has six or more assists in four of his last five. That includes notching 12 assists his last time out against the Mavericks.
The Spurs are struggling on defense this season, ranking 28th in defensive rating, and have been getting burned by teams willing to make the extra pass. The 28.1 opponent assists per game San Antonio allows is tied for the worst mark in the NBA.
Dame has gone Over 6.5 assists in each of his last two games and he should make it three of three in this matchup against the Spurs. The even money is the cherry on top.
Damian Lillard Prop: Over 6.5 assists (+100)
Clarkson counts 'em up
The Utah Jazz return home after a three-game road trip which featured the team’s first losing streak of the season., but they’ll look to end that skid when they welcome the New York Knicks to town on Tuesday night.
The Jazz offense has stalled a bit over the last two games (hence the losses) but the Knicks can’t stop anybody right now, ranking 24th in defensive rating on the season but dead last in opponent field goal percentage and next-to-last in points allowed over the last five games.
Tonight, we’ll look at Jordan Clarkson to take advantage of this matchup. He’s coming off a down game against the 76ers but is averaging 18.1 points per game this season and has averaged 20 points per game over his last eight games, where he poured in 20 or more points six times.
The other reason to like Clarkson here is that he’s also been a sharpshooter from beyond the arc this season. Clarkson has hit multiple treys in 13 of his 15 games this season while shooting 39.3% on 7.8 attempts per game.
Now, he gets to attack a Knicks defense that is giving up the most 3-point attempts per game to opponents this season. At 18.5, Clarkson’s point total is a touch too low in this matchup.
Jordan Clarkson Prop: Over 18.5 points (-108)
Barnes & Noble
The Brooklyn Nets are still trying to dig themselves out of their early-season hole as their West Coast trip continues tonight against the Sacramento Kings.
Brooklyn opened the road trip with a win over the Clippers but followed that up with a loss to the lowly Lakers and some of the same problems for the Nets popped up in the loss.
Not only did the Nets allow the Lakers of all teams to shoot over 40% from 3-point range, but they were also outrebounded by a Lakers team that has really struggled to clean up the glass this season. And that’s what we are focusing on tonight.
The Nets rank 23rd in the NBA in opponent rebounds per game and next-to-last in rebounding rate. Obviously, the Kings’ Domantas Sabonis will put in some work on the boards, but there seems to be little value at his elevated number.
So, we’ll turn our attention to Harrison Barnes. The Kings’ forward is coming off a weird no-rebound performance against the Warriors but that may be giving us a little value here. Barnes is averaging 5.1 boards per game and has hauled down five or more rebounds in five of his previous six games. Yet, we are still getting a rebounding total of 4.5 in this matchup.
Back Barnes to clean the glass in this one and go Over his rebounding prop.
Harrison Barnes Prop: Over 4.5 rebounds (-115)
