NBA Preseason Predictions and Moneyline Picks: Monday, Oct. 5

Jon Metler - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Jon Metler • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: Oct 5, 2026 , 06:00 AM ET • 4 min read

The 76ers host the Knicks in preseason action, and betting analyst Jon Metler is backing Philly in his latest NBA moneyline picks.

Philadelphia 76ers guard Tyrese Maxey (0) drives against New York Knicks guard Landry Shamet (44) during the fourth quarter of game three of the second round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Philadelphia 76ers guard Tyrese Maxey (0) drives against New York Knicks guard Landry Shamet (44) during the fourth quarter of game three of the second round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs at Xfinity Mobile Arena.

The NBA season is finally here, and the excitement is real, with preseason lines now available for our NBA moneyline picks on one of our best prediction market apps.

It may just be preseason, but you don't think Devin Booker is going to go out there and put on a show in the city he grew up in, in front of friends and family? 

Now that NBA preseason is available to trade, make sure you're always checking our updated NBA picks.

NBA preseason moneyline picks for Oct. 5

For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Matchup Pick
Grizzlies Grizzlies
vs
Hawks Hawks
Grizzlies
37%
Suns Suns
vs
Pistons Pistons
Suns
42%
Knicks Knicks
vs
76ers 76ers
76ers
52%
Timberwolves Timberwolves
vs
Bucks Bucks
Bucks
37%
Lakers Lakers
vs
Kings Kings
Kings
41%

Prices courtesy of Polymarket.

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Expert NBA preseason moneyline predictions for Oct. 5

Grizzlies vs Hawks: Grizzlies Grizzlies

Trade 37% at Polymarket

Every player on this Memphis Grizzlies roster has something to prove in preseason, with plenty of minutes and usage up for grabs now that Jaren Jackson Jr. and Ja Morant are out of the picture.

The Grizzlies will look to feature one of the favorites for NBA Rookie of the Year in Cameron Boozer, who should be able to capitalize on the interior against a more wing-oriented Atlanta Hawks roster.

Suns vs Pistons: Suns Suns

Trade 42% at Polymarket

You always have to question motivation in an NBA preseason game, but there's some sneaky motivation for the Phoenix Suns with a couple of their key players. Devin Booker is from the Detroit area and always seems to have an extra bounce in his step when playing in Detroit, while Miles Bridges is making his Suns debut as a former Michigan State Spartan.

With Jalen Duren just signing his contract extension and missing the start of training camp, I doubt he's ready to roll in this matchup. Give me the Suns at 42%.

Knicks vs 76ers: 76ers 76ers 

Trade 52% at Polymarket

At home against the New York Knicks, I wouldn't be surprised if Nick Nurse & Co. use this as an opportunity to set an early tone.

If this game were against anyone else or on the road, I wouldn't expect to see the 76ers starters on the floor for very long or playing with much intensity, but at home against the Knicks, it just feels different.

Timberwolves vs Bucks: Bucks Bucks

Trade 37% at Polymarket

The Milwaukee Bucks might not have the superstar you need to compete in the NBA regular season with Giannis Antetokounmpo now in Miami, but they do have a roster of 10-12 players who should be capable of playing meaningful NBA minutes.

In a playoff game, depth isn't nearly as important because 40 minutes from the Minnesota Timberwolves' best five is going to overwhelm 40 minutes from the Bucks' best five. In a preseason game, having players seven through 12 who can still create offense and have significant NBA experience matters.

Lakers vs Kings: Kings Kings 

Trade 41% at Polymarket

File this under a name you never expected to see in an NBA write-up ever again — and you definitely didn't expect it to be the reason we're placing a trade.

I think Ben Simmons is the key. When he gets minutes against the Los Angeles Lakers backups in a preseason game, he should be able to continue creating efficient offense for his teammates and the Sacramento Kings' bench players, while the Lakers' offense could lack a primary creator and stall for stretches.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

Having played, coached, and officiated basketball, Jon naturally turned his focus to the NBA when he entered the sports betting world. With over 15 years of experience, he specializes in spreads, moneylines, and player props—always chasing value through sharp market analysis. A firm believer in analytics, Jon trusts the numbers to guide his bets. He monitors NBA betting markets 365 days a year and uses 10-plus sportsbooks to find the best prices. If there are NBA games on, Jon’s up early, caffeinated, and already placing his favorite bets.

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