Today’s NBA Player Prop Picks: Draymond Hammers the Heat's Glass

The Warriors are still working at finding their groove but get a solid matchup, on the glass at least, tonight against Miami. The Heat are near the bottom in rebounding rate, boding well for Draymond Green, who leads off in our favorite NBA player props.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Nov 1, 2022 • 13:59 ET • 4 min read
Draymond Green Golden State Warriors NBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

There are only four games tipping off on Tuesday night but that still means hundreds of betting options when it comes to NBA props.

Today, I'm backing Draymond Green on his rebounds total, expecting some positive regression from Luguentz Dort, and fading D'Angelo Russell against a stingy Phoenix defense.

Here are my best free NBA picks for November 1. 

NBA player props for November 1

Picks made on 11/01/2022 at 1:20 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Today’s best NBA player props

The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.

Draymond douses the Heat

The Miami Heat host the Golden State Warriors tonight with both teams looking to bounce back from consecutive losses.

The Heat have struggled on the glass and are just 27th in the NBA in rebounding rate. When these teams faced off last week, the Dubs had a 50-31 edge on the boards and Draymond Green pulled down seven. 

Green averaged 7.3 rebounds in 46 games last season and while his rebounding numbers have dipped a bit this year, he has still secured at least seven boards in four straight.

Look for him to hit that mark again and take the Over 6.5 on his rebounds total tonight. 

Draymond Green Prop: Over 6.5 rebounds (+105)

Slingin' Dorts

Thunder swingman Luguentz Dort is averaging 14 points per game but is shooting 35.9% from the floor — including just 17.1% from beyond the arc. That said, Dort averaged 17.2 ppg on 40.4% shooting last season and he drained 2.5 per game from beyond the arc at a 33.2% clip. 

Those shooting percentages are below average but are still much better than what he's been doing in a smaller sample size this season, so positive regression seems likely.

Dort is averaging 13 field goal attempts and 5.8 3-point attempts per game, so the shooting volume is there and with Josh Giddey ruled out for the fourth game in a row, his usage rate will continue to be high. 

The Thunder are hosting the Magic as 3.5-point favorites tonight. The Magic have been solid defensively this season but are banged up in their backcourt and will have a tough time matching up with OKC on the perimeter, especially if they focus on slowing down Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. I'm backing the Over 14.5 on Dort's points total. 

Luguentz Dort Prop:  Over 14.5 points (-117)

The Suns set on Russell

The Suns look to continue their strong start as they host the Timberwolves as 4-point faves tonight. The Suns are fourth in the NBA in defensive rating and are holding foes to just 106.3 ppg — the third-best mark in the league.

The Timberwolves have been getting strong offensive play from Anthony Edwards and Karl-Anthony Towns but point guard D'Angelo Russell has struggled from the field.

Russell is coming off an ugly performance against the Spurs where he went just 5-for-17 from the field for 10 points. He has scored 12 or fewer in four of his last five games and is averaging just 12.8 ppg over that span. Fade Russell on his points total today. 

D'Angelo Russell Prop: Under 16.5 points (-118)

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