Today’s NBA Player Prop Picks: Dort Strikes from Deep

With no football this weekend, we can focus even harder on NBA player prop bets and with nine games on the board, there’s plenty of NBA betting value to be found.

Evan Mobley is the betting favorite to win Rookie of the Year and is coming off arguably the best performance of his young career. With Darius Garland out, can he lead the Cleveland Cavaliers to a win over the Charlotte Hornets?

Check out our NBA player prop picks for tonight, February 4, as we bank on some of the NBA's best to do their thing.

NBA player props for February 4

• Mobley Over 26.5 points+rebounds (-115)
• Wood Over 11.5 rebounds (-105)
• Dort Over 2.5 made threes (-125)

Picks made on 2/4/2022 at 12:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Today’s best NBA player props

Steady Evan

Cleveland Cavaliers rookie Evan Mobley is coming off the best game of his career, dominating the Houston Rockets on the inside on his way to putting up 29 points while grabbing 12 boards. Now, he’ll look to keep that up when the Cavs visit the Charlotte Hornets tonight.

Mobley is the betting favorite to win Rookie of the Year and looks like he is getting better and better as the year rolls along. The Cavs big man is averaging 15.2 points on 50.8% shooting while adding 8.2 rebounds per game, and those have bumped up to 16.4 and 9.6 over his last seven games.

On top of that, Mobley is now the Cavs’ top scoring option with Darius Garland dealing with a back injury and now he gets a great matchup against a Hornets team where defense is definitely secondary to offense.

The Hornets rank 26th in defensive rating and 17th in opponent points in the paint while ranking 29th in rebound rate and 28th in opponent rebounds per game. So, after just bullying around Christian Wood and the Rockets, I’m not sure Miles Plumlee is going to be the guy who slows down Mobley. 

Take a hard look at the Over on his points + rebounding total.

Pick: Evan Mobley Over 26.5 points + rebounds (-115 at FanDuel)

Wood on the glass

Speaking of Christian Wood, while he had a tough time against Mobley and the Cavs, he and the Rockets will get a chance to bounce back tonight in a Southwest Division matchup against the San Antonio Spurs.

Wood has upped his output to 19.4 points on 51% shooting from the floor over his last seven games but he has really put extra work in on the boards over that stretch, hauling down 12.3 rebounds per game.

Now, he faces a Spurs team that has plenty of problems cleaning up the glass. San Antonio ranks 21st in the NBA when it comes to rebound rate and 26th in opponent rebounds per game. To make matters worse, its two top rebounders, Jakob Poeltl and Dejounte Murray, are questionable for this matchup.

Wood has grabbed 13 or more rebounds five times in the last seven games. One of the times he finished below that was against this same Spurs team back on Jan. 25. Wood only had seven rebounds in that one but played just 24 minutes in what turned out to be a blowout win for San Antonio. That shouldn’t happen this time around.

Pick: Christian Wood Over 11.5 rebounds (-105 at DraftKings)

Need more Dort license plates

It may be a matchup of struggling Northwestern Division rivals when the Oklahoma City Thunder visit the Portland Trail Blazers on Friday night, but there is a player prop that could make this game worthwhile. 

The Thunder have lost leading scorer Shai Gilgeous-Alexander until after the All-Star break with an ankle injury, but that has created an opportunity for Lu Dort. The shooting guard has already started to shoulder more of the load with SGA on the shelf, which, in short, means Dort is jacking up more threes.

Dort is attempting 9.0 threes per game over the last three games, hitting on 40.7 percent of his attempts and now he gets to face a Portland team with a ton of problems when it comes to defending the perimeter. 

The Trail Blazers rank dead last in the NBA when it comes to opponent 3-point shooting percentage while ranking 20th in opponent attempts from beyond the arc per game. While Dort went just 2-8 from downtown in a meeting against the Blazers just back on Monday you can bet he won’t stop letting it fly from deep. He’s a good bet to go Over his made threes prop in this one.

Pick: Lu Dort Over 2.5 made threes (-125 at DraftKings)

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