Pelicans vs Pistons Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst 18+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 , 01:35 PM ET • 4 min read

Farmer's Prediction: Pistons lean on Daniss Jenkins again.

NBA

Match starts: 2 hrs
NO
42 %
DET
58 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Daniss Jenkins o17.5  Points Scored (-115) Daniss Jenkins o17.5 Points Scored (-115)
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Daniss Jenkins Detroit Pistons NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Daniss Jenkins takes a shot against the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday.

The Detroit Pistons should stay atop the Eastern Conference despite Cade Cunningham’s absence, giving them the best chance of navigating his hopeful and eventual return. Winning the obvious games is paramount to that task, like tonight against the tanking New Orleans Pelicans.

My Pelicans vs. Pistons predictions and these NBA picks focus on Cunningham’s unexpected replacement on Thursday, March 26.

Pelicans vs Pistons prediction

Pelicans vs Pistons best bet: Daniss Jenkins Over 17.5 points (-115)

You may be forgiven for not knowing who Daniss Jenkins is. In the month following the All-Star Break, the second-year point guard out of St. John’s — who began his collegiate career at Pacific — averaged just 18.8 minutes and 5.8 points per game.

He was a reserve, at best.

But when Cade Cunningham suffered a collapsed lung, the Detroit Pistons needed someone to take on a greater workload, and that someone has been Jenkins. In the four games since Cunningham’s injury, Jenkins has averaged 38.9 minutes and 20 points.

Perhaps most notable, Jenkins is playing 8.5 morem minutes per game than anyone else in the Detroit rotation. The Pistons never planned for a life without Cunningham running the offense; they are desperate for ball-handling.

Oddsmakers have largely adjusted, but not enough to reflect Jenkins’s increased responsibilities. In his four starts, he has cleared this prop in the last three games. Expect more of that scoring from Jenkins tonight against the New Orleans Pelicans, simply because Detroit has no choice but to keep the ball in his hands these days.

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Pelicans vs Pistons same-game parlay

While Jenkins has cleared this assists prop in three straight games, two of those were by the hook, and the third featured 10 assists in a game that went into overtime. Given the Pelicans’ happiness to lose games, a comfortable Detroit win would likely feature fewer assists from Jenkins.

Pelicans vs Pistons SGP

  • Daniss Jenkins Over 17.5 points
  • Daniss Jenkins Under 7.5 assists
  • Pistons -4

Our "from downtown" SGP: Jenkins but not from deep

Counterintuitive same-game parlays are such a joy. The math refuses to recognize that Jenkins could score 20 points while hitting only one 3-pointer. He is not a great shooter, just 36.7% from deep this season.

In fact, Jenkins has cleared this point prop while hitting only one 3-pointer in two of his last three games.

Pelicans vs Pistons SGP

  • Daniss Jenkins Over 17.5 points
  • Daniss Jenkins Under 7.5 assists
  • Daniss Jenkins Under 1.5 threes

Pelicans vs Pistons odds

  • Spread: Pelicans +4 | Pistons -4
  • Moneyline: Pelicans +155 | Pistons -185
  • Over/Under: Over 226.5 | Under 226.5

Pelicans vs Pistons betting trend to know

Detroit has gone 3-1 against the spread since Cunningham’s injury, and the sole ATS loss came in overtime as a two-point favorite. Find more NBA betting trends for Pelicans vs. Pistons.

How to watch Pelicans vs Pistons

Location Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
Date Thursday, March 26, 2026
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV Pelicans+, Detroit SportsNet

Pelicans vs Pistons latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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