Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Farmer's prediction: Timberwolves cruise early.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Feb 20, 2026 • 12:50 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 5 hrs
DAL
40 %
MIN
60 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Minnesota -8.5 (-105) Minnesota -8.5 (-105)
Read Analysis
Rudy Gobert Minnesota Timberwolves NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Minnesota Timberwolves center Rudy Gobert drives against the Mavericks.

The Minnesota Timberwolves need to string together a win streak.

Just a modest five- or six-game winning streak would propel Minnesota into the top three of the West.

But to do so, it needs to easily handle teams intent on tanking, like the Dallas Mavericks.

My Mavericks vs. Timberwolves predictions take the risk of trusting Minnesota against a shorthanded opponent, usually a risk in NBA picks, but not on Friday, February 20.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves prediction

Mavericks vs Timberwolves best bet: Timberwolves 1H -8.5 (-105)

The Dallas Mavericks’ injury report has already decided this game.

Not even the Minnesota Timberwolves can treat this game so lightly as to jeopardize an easy win. Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, and Klay Thompson won’t be able to keep this close, even through the first half.

Minnesota should also cruise to covering the full-game spread of -13.5, but as far as a best bet is concerned, an entire fourth quarter of garbage time should not be trusted.

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Mavericks vs Timberwolves same-game parlay

The Timberwolves’ reserves should also gas the Mavericks’ bench.

Minnesota has a quality bench, one that should take over for Anthony Edwards relatively early in this rout.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves SGP

  • Timberwolves 1H -8.5
  • Timberwolves -13.5
  • Anthony Edwards Under 28.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Big Ru Goes Brr

Rudy Gobert should dominate the glass tonight, especially if Mavs’ big man Daniel Gafford is ruled out.

A few lobs to Gobert should be easy pickings against this Dallas roster.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves SGP

  • Timberwolves 1H -8.5
  • Timberwolves -13.5
  • Anthony Edwards Under 28.5 points
  • Rudy Gobert Over 10.5 points

Mavericks vs Timberwolves odds

  • Spread: Mavericks +13.5 (-110) | Timberwolves -13.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Mavericks +500 | Timberwolves -700
  • Over/Under: Over 239.5 (-110) | Under 239.5 (-110)

Mavericks vs Timberwolves betting trend to know

Dallas went 0-5 against the spread in its last five games before the All-Star break. Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Timberwolves.

How to watch Mavericks vs Timberwolves

Location Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Date Friday, February 20, 2026
Tip-off 7:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Mavericks vs Timberwolves latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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