Mavericks vs Suns Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst 18+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 8, 2026 , 02:56 PM ET • 4 min read

Farmer's Prediction: Devin Booker should prioritize next week, not this week.

NBA

Match starts: 5 hrs
DAL
54 %
PHO
46 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Devin Booker u6.5  Total Assists (-130) Devin Booker u6.5 Total Assists (-130)
Read Analysis
Devin Booker Phoenix Suns NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Devin Booker passes the ball in a loss to the Houston Rockets on Tuesday.

The Phoenix Suns let one get away last night, but they should not stress about the final week of the regular season. They do not need to put much worry into facing the Dallas Mavericks tonight.

My Mavericks vs. Suns predictions and these NBA picks expect Phoenix to pack it in early if given that opportunity on Wednesday, April 8.

Mavericks vs Suns prediction

Mavericks vs Suns best bet: Devin Booker Under 6.5 assists (-130)

Good luck justifying any Over bet in this matchup between the tanking Dallas Mavericks and the Phoenix Suns, as the latter is effectively locked into the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference and will thus host the more enviable Play-In game. The Suns are two games clear of the Clippers for the No. 7 seed, and with only three games remaining, Los Angeles’s pipe dreams are essentially dead.

Phoenix should still want to win, but on the second night of a back-to-back, lessening Devin Booker’s workload would make more sense. He played 38:32 last night in a deflating loss to Houston. The Suns’ ceiling is low, but it would crater if Booker is anything but at his best in the postseason.

Even when playing legitimate minutes, Booker has fallen short of this modest prop in two of his last three games and nine of his last 14 games.

That is the vital overlap in these difficult betting situations of the final week of the regular season: Find a prop bet that would be expected to cash in a regular situation, and then it will be emphasized if minutes are indeed wonky.

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Mavericks vs Suns same-game parlay

Let this vision be straightforward: An early Suns lead should spark diminished minutes from Booker. There is no need to stress him. The Suns have three winnable games ahead of them, and the required win or two should come. The Clippers have three losable games ahead of them, and the required loss or two should come. Phoenix can trust its hold of the No. 7 seed.

Mavericks vs Suns SGP

  • Devin Booker Under 6.5 Assists
  • Devin Booker Under 26.5 Points
  • Suns First Half -6.5

Our "from downtown" SGP: Phoenix Ambivalence Late

This counterintuitive same-game parlay is designed to suggest the Mavericks may let Cooper Flagg rack up the points in the second half to cement his Rookie of the Year award, and the Suns’ defense may allow a backdoor cover simply out of ambivalence.

Mavericks vs Suns SGP

  • Devin Booker Under 6.5 Assists
  • Suns First Half -6.5
  • Mavericks +11.5

Mavericks vs Suns odds

  • Spread: Mavericks +11.5 (-110) | Suns -11.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Mavericks +475 | Suns -650
  • Over/Under: Over 231.5 (-110) | Under 231.5 (-110)

Mavericks vs Suns betting trend to know

Phoenix has gone 0-4 against the spread in its last four games, falling short of bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 7.6 points per game. Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Suns.

How to watch Mavericks vs Suns

Location Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
Date Wednesday, April 8, 2026
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV KFAA, KTVK

Mavericks vs Suns latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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