The Los Angeles Lakers are just one win away from sweeping the Houston Rockets sans two of their three best players.
L.A. has been getting help elsewhere, and our NBA player prop projections have taken a liking to Deandre Ayton.
Find out why you should add him to your NBA picks tonight, and read our complete Lakers vs. Rockets predictions for more action on Sunday, April 26.
Lakers vs Rockets computer picks for Game 4
 Lakers |
 Rockets |
|---|---|
| Ayton o10.5 points -120 |
Thompson o16.5 points -125 |
| Smart u4.5 assists +100 |
Smith Jr. o1.5 assists +115 |
| Kennard u3.5 rebounds -150 |
Sengun o19.5 points -125 |
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Lakers Game 4 computer picks
Deandre Ayton Over 10.5 points (-120)
Projection: 12.81 points
Sometimes the prop projections give you a play, and you just have to trust the process. Our model sees this as a five-star play, with the numbers expecting a bounce-back performance from Deandre Ayton. In +EV we trust!
Marcus Smart Under 4.5 assists (+100)
Projection: 3.55 assists
This is another five-star play according to our projections, and this one makes a little more sense. Austin Reaves is questionable for tonight, and if he comes back, it'll eat up a bunch of Marcus Smart's potential assists.
Luke Kennard Under 3.5 rebounds (-150)
Projection: 3.16 rebounds
This is similar to the Marcus Smart play. The return of AR would almost certainly cut Luke Kennard's floor time, which means his numbers will see a dip.
Rockets Game 4 computer picks
Amen Thompson Over 16.5 points (-125)
Projection: 18.43 points
Don't let the Houston Rockets' 3-0 deficit fool you, Amen Thompson has brought his best. He's cleared this line in two of three games, finishing with 16 in Game 2.
In a do-or-die game, Thompson will bring the heat.
Jabari Smith Jr. Over 1.5 assists (+115)
Projection: 1.87 assists
Jabari Smith Jr. is yet to eclipse this total, but he gets way too many touches and floor time not to bet it at plus money. Our model likes him to set up two buckets tonight.
Alperen Sengun Over 19.5 points (-125)
Projection: 21.17 points
Alperen Sengun just dropped 33 points, and our model likes him to have another productive game. The big man rose to the occasion without Kevin Durant, and he may have to again with his team's season on the line.
How to watch Lakers vs Rockets Game 4
| Location | Toyota Center, Houston, TX |
| Date | Sunday, April 26, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC/Peacock |
Not intended for use in MA.
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