Knicks vs Warriors Picks and Predictions: Dubs Add to Knicks' Prolonged Misery

The New York Knicks are playing flat-out terrible basketball. They've lost the first three games on this West-Coast road trip and now face the Golden State Warriors. Our betting picks side with the Dubs as 9-point home favorites.

Last Updated: Feb 10, 2022 3:44 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
Andrew Wiggins Golden State Warriors NBA
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The NBA trade deadline has come and gone and the Knicks did not do anything to change their hopes of reaching the playoffs for a second consecutive season. The status quo has New York 2.5 games outside the play-in, and a loss to the constantly-surging Warriors will not help those hopes, just as standing pat at the trade deadline did not help the Knicks.

Here are our free NBA betting picks and predictions for the Knicks at the Warriors on February 10, with tip set for 10:00 ET.

Knicks vs Warriors odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

Few trade rumors ever circulated around the Knicks and Warriors, helping this line stay rather stable after opening with Golden State favored by 8.5 late Wednesday night. That rose to -10 early Thursday morning before stabilizing at -9. The total moved even less, beginning Thursday at 218.5 and falling to 217.5 at the time of this writing.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until tip-off and be sure to check out the full NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Knicks vs Warriors predictions

Predictions made on 2/10/2022 at 3:15 X.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Knicks vs Warriors game info

Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Date: Thursday, February 10, 2022
Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET

Knicks vs Warriors betting preview

Key injuries

Knicks: RJ Barrett SF (Questionable), Quentin Grimes SG (Questionable), Mitchell Robinson C (Questionable), Nerlens Noel C (Questionable), Derrick Rose PG (Out).
Warriors: Andre Iguodala SG (Out), Nemanja Bjelica PF (Out), James Wiseman C (Out), Draymond Green PF (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Knicks are 0-4 against the spread in their last four games and 0-6 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Warriors.

Knicks vs Warriors picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

Not much about the Knicks should encourage their fans or backers right now. New York has gone 1-6 ATS in its last seven, covering only as a home-favorite against the Kings. Worse yet, the Knicks have gone 1-7 straight up in their last eight games. At the trade deadline a year ago, it was argued New York should be buyers. Today, it was only surprising the Knicks did not sell off pieces, having fallen to No. 12 in the East and 2.5 games out of the play-in, a gap that feels much wider.

This westward road trip has been part of New York’s problem, going 0-3 in the last week and being increasingly uncompetitive doing so. The intangible commonly referred to as “caring” can be difficult to gauge from afar and these are, as always, professional athletes capable of great games even when indifferent, but the Knicks simply look to be in danger of no longer caring this season.

Tom Thibodeau has been known to have that effect on a roster.

Meanwhile, the Warriors have not lost against the spread as single-digit favorites in nearly a month, a stretch that covers six games, going 4-0-2 during its run. Golden State has not blown teams out as consistently as in years past, but since Klay Thompson’s return, it does keep lesser foes at an arm’s length.

And the Knicks are the very definition of a lesser foe.

Prediction: Warriors -9 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

The Warriors have the best defensive rating in the league this season, and the Knicks offense ranks 25th. This total coming in under 220 makes sense with those broad thoughts in mind, but New York has not exactly had trouble scoring of late. The Knicks have averaged 111.3 points per game on this road trip and 111 in their last six games.

In those six games, New York’s offense ranks 21st in offensive rating, a notable move up from No. 25 on the season. Beyond the standings, the Knicks have moved from a 108.8 offensive rating this season to 109.5 of late.

In that same stretch, Golden State’s defense ranks No. 15 in the league, rather than its season-long top standing. The Warriors’ defensive rating has fallen from 103.9 to 114.2.

However, this has not come back to bite Golden State on the court other than last night's loss in Utah. But it is undeniable, the Warriors defense has fallen off of late.

With a total this low to start with, those recent trends garner notice.

Prediction: Over 217.5 (-110)

Best bet

Shop. Always shop. This line can also be found at 21.5. Obviously, grabbing the higher Steph Curry point total right now makes sense when recommending the Under.

Curry has fallen short of 20 points in 10 of his last 17 games. He has fallen short of 23 in another two of those. He could go thermonuclear for a month at any moment, of course, but since New Year’s Day, Curry has struggled to find that usual rhythm.

And for all their faults, the Knicks defense has been decent, ranking 14th on the season as well as since Jan. 1. Eight of Curry’s 17 opponents in his slump have ranked below New York in defensive rating this season. Yes, they gave up three of his 23-plus point outings, but that also shows Curry is still more likely to fall short of this scoring total than not even against a lesser defense.

As long as Curry’s nightly total is this high, it is worth fading every night until Curry goes off anew, which may not come until Draymond Green returns to action.

Pick: Steph Curry Under 22.5 points (-108)

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