Knicks vs Trail Blazers Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Defense Reigns True in Rip City

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 14, 2024 , 04:30 PM ET • 4 min read

Portland will struggle to find opportunities to get points when it faces an outstanding New York defense tonight. Ed Scimia explains more as he breaks down his latest handicap in our Knicks vs. Trail Blazers betting picks.

NBA

Mar 14 • 10:00 PM ET
NY
25 %
POR
75 %
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OG Anunoby New York Knicks NBA
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The New York Knicks will look to continue their recent run of outstanding defensive play when they visit the Portland Trail Blazers on Thursday night.

The Knicks (38-27) are sitting as the No. 4 seed in the Eastern Conference, and have managed to hold their ground even while dealing with a string of injuries. The Trail Blazers (19-46) have struggled this year but are playing better as of late, winning two of their last three contests in the NBA odds.

Nobody has been able to score against New York as of late, and Portland has one of the worst offenses in the NBA. We’ll look at how that impacts betting on tonight’s game in our free NBA picks and predictions for Knicks vs. Trail Blazers on March 14.

Knicks vs Trail Blazers odds

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Knicks vs Trail Blazers predictions

The New York Knicks have played solid defense all year long. Holding opponents to just 47% shooting — combined with playing at the slowest pace in the NBA — has led them to allow just 108.3 points per game, the lowest figure in the Eastern Conference.

But New York has taken their style of play to a new extreme in recent days. Over the last three games, the Knicks are allowing just 77.3 ppg and haven’t allowed a single opponent to hit the 80-point mark.

“20 years ago, that really was the style of play,” Knicks head coach Tom Thibodeau told reporters. “So to be able to do it in today’s game, it’s a credit to the team.”

New York has also gotten healthier as of late, with OG Anunoby returning to the lineup on Tuesday. It’s still unclear when Julius Randle will be ready to play, but this Knicks team is leaning into its identity and getting its key players back just in time to secure a top seed in the postseason.

That means a tough matchup ahead for the Portland Trail Blazers, who find themselves posted as a double-digit underdog at home tonight. Portland averages just 107.9 ppg and shoots 44.1% from the field, both of which rank in the bottom five of the NBA.

It’s not like the Knicks are known for lighting up the scoreboard, either. As I said earlier, they play at an extremely slow pace for the modern NBA and are averaging just 112.3 ppg for the season. Even in their recent stretch of defensive dominance, they lost one of those three games, with Philadelphia managing to beat New York 79-73 on Sunday. The Knicks have also eclipsed 100 points in just two of their last seven games.

Tonight’s total is set extremely at just 205.5, and yet it’s still not low enough considering how these teams have been playing. The Knicks should impose their style of play effectively tonight, which is why I’m backing the Under with confidence.

My best bet: Under 205.5 (-110 at BetMGM)

Knicks vs Trail Blazers same-game parlay

Under 205

Knicks -10.5

OG Anunoby Over 13.5 points

The Knicks should dominate this game on the defensive end. For my same-game parlay, I’ll combine the Under with taking the Knicks to cover the spread tonight. While 10.5 points is a lot, the Knicks have recent blowout wins over both the 76ers and Magic, giving me confidence that they can handle a weak Portland team even on the road.

Finally, I’ll take Anunoby to hit the Over on his scoring prop of 13.5 points. Anunoby is just coming back from injury but managed to score 14 points in just 29 minutes against Philly on Tuesday. He should get more time tonight, which will mean more points as New York continues to round him into shape for the playoff run.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Knicks vs Trail Blazers spread and Over/Under analysis

The Knicks opened tonight’s game as an 11.5-point favorite. The consensus spread has dropped to New York -10.5, with -110 offered on both sides of the line at most sites.

New York has been slightly positive against the spread this year, posting a 33-30-2 ATS record on the season. Portland has had the opposite trend, going just 31-34 ATS for the year.

The total on this game opened at 206 points. Even that number was somewhat enticing to bettors, who have taken the Over/Under down to 205 or 205.5, depending on the book. While -110 is available on both sides at 205.5, you can also get -110 on the Over at 205 if that’s the way you want to play this.

Both teams have played to the Under this season, though to different degrees. The Under has a slim 34-31 advantage when the Trail Blazers play, while it has gone an impressive 41-24 in New York’s games this year.

Knicks vs Trail Blazers betting trend to know

The Under is 9-1 in New York’s last 10 games. Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Trail Blazers.

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Knicks vs Trail Blazers game info

Location: Moda Center, Portland, OR
Date: Thursday, March 14, 2024
Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: ROOT SPORTS PLUS, MSG

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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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