The San Antonio Spurs are backed against the wall. If they want to stop the New York Knicks from capturing their first championship since 1973, they must defend their home floor and force a Game 6.
Ahead of this high-stakes Game 5 clash, our advanced NBA player prop projections have identified the absolute best value spots on the board. By crunching the data and auditing the latest market lines, we’ve pinpointed exactly where the sharpest betting edges lie.
These Knicks vs. Spurs predictions are driven by numbers instead of guesswork.
If you’re building your card, here are the model’s top NBA picks for Saturday, June 13.
Knicks vs Spurs computer picks for Game 5
 Knicks |
 Spurs |
|---|---|
| Anunoby u18.5 points -125 |
Fox o14.5 points -130 |
| Towns o11.5 rebounds +110 |
Champagnie o2.5 3-pointers +125 |
| Brunson o5.5 assists -130 |
Wembanyama o11.5 rebounds +100 |
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Knicks Game 5 computer picks
OG Anunoby Under 18.5 points (-125)
Projection: 17.51 points
The San Antonio Spurs' top priority tonight? Neutralizing OG Anunoby. In Game 4, Anunoby spearheaded a monumental 29-point New York Knicks comeback, sealing the thrilling win with a historic, miraculous put-back shot.
He finished the night with 33 points on absurd efficiency by shooting 67% from the field, 78% from deep, and 100% from the free-throw line. San Antonio has its hands full with New York’s offense, but limiting Anunoby is the absolute focus for Game 5, making his Under a highly compelling look.
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 11.5 rebounds (+110)
Projection: 11.80 rebounds
Outside of New York’s lone defeat in Game 3, Karl-Anthony Towns has consistently cleared—or come incredibly close to—this rebounding line all series.
He fell just short with 10 boards in the unforgettable Game 4, but with a historic championship on the line, expect KAT to dominate the glass. He has been the driving force for the Knicks throughout this postseason run, particularly against San Antonio's frontcourt.
Bank on him coming up big on the boards tonight to smash the Over.
Jalen Brunson Over 5.5 assists (-130)
Projection: 6.40 assists
Jalen Brunson has been the engine of New York’s offense, most recently logging 36 points and seven assists in Game 4.
As the Knicks look to close out the series, Brunson’s assist prop presents a major betting edge. He has hit the Over on this line in two of the four matchups during this series and neared it in Game 3.
Because the Spurs' top defensive priority tonight will be forcing the ball out of Brunson’s hands, look for him to turn playmaker and easily clear this total. Back the Over.
Spurs Game 5 computer picks
De'Aaron Fox Over 14.5 points (-130)
Projection: 17.72 points
De'Aaron Fox loves playing in front of the home crowd, averaging 22.5 points over his last eight games in San Antonio (4.7 points higher than his season home average).
He’ll need that hometown cooking after a highly criticized final sequence in Game 4 pushed the Spurs to the brink of elimination.
San Antonio’s coaching staff is sticking by him, but the message is clear: protect the rock. Look for Fox to slow things down and play a highly strategic, low-mistake style to keep the season alive on Saturday.
Julian Champagnie Over 2.5 3-pointers (+125)
Projection: 2.5 3-pointers
It was a rough outing for Julian Champagnie in Game 4, as he struggled to a 1-for-7 performance from three-point range.
His inability to stretch the floor was a key component of San Antonio's heartbreaking loss, but a return home for Game 5 might be the exact remedy he needs.
The Spurs are facing elimination, and they need Champagnie to snap out of this slump immediately. If you’re looking at his props tonight, keep in mind that he’s historically a much more potent perimeter threat—expect a focused effort from him as he looks to redeem that Game 4 performance.
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Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds (+100)
Projection: 13.54 rebounds
Victor Wembanyama has split this rebounding line right down the middle so far, clearing it in two of the first four games of the series.
Now, back on his home floor, he has the perfect opportunity to exact some revenge. Expect the young superstar to fully embrace the villain role tonight; New York fans will find plenty of reasons to resent him as he crashes the glass with a vengeance to keep San Antonio's season alive.
Take Wemby on the Over for a dominant performance on the boards.
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How to watch Knicks vs Spurs Game 5
| Location | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX |
| Date | Saturday, June 13, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
Not intended for use in MA.
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