Celtics vs Nuggets Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for February 25

We ran the numbers for Celtics vs. Nuggets and found the player props where the projections create real separation from the line. Here’s where the model sees value on February 25.

Chris Vasile - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Vasile • Betting Analyst
Feb 25, 2026 • 11:57 ET • 4 min read
Boston Celtics guard Payton Pritchard (11) against the Phoenix Suns in the first half.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Boston Celtics guard Payton Pritchard (11) against the Phoenix Suns in the first half.

Boston and Denver hook up in the marquee matchup of the night, and our NBA player prop projections have circled some of the best edges in this showdown. 

Before you go making your Celtics vs. Nuggets predictions and NBA picks, check out our favorite player props below.

Celtics vs Nuggets computer picks for February 25

Celtics Celtics Nuggets Nuggets
Pritchard o3.5 rebounds 
+100
Jokic u28.5 points 
-120
Queta o8.5 points 
-112
Johnson o11.5 points 
-112
Hauser o9.5 points 
-115
Murray u23.5 points 
-120

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Celtics computer picks

Payton Pritchard Over 3.5 rebounds (+100)

Projection: 4.5 rebounds

Payton Pritchard plays bigger than his size when it comes to rebounding. He tracks long misses well and stays active around the perimeter. The projection has Pritchard clearing four boards with room to spare, and at plus money, that edge matters.

He's gone Over this number in three of his last four games. 

🔥 Bet pritchard Now at bet365!

Neemias Queta Over 8.5 points (-112)

Projection: 10.0 points

Neemias Queta doesn’t need isolation touches to score. Rim runs, dump-offs, and put-backs are enough to push him toward double digits. The model projects Queta right around 10, giving this Over a clean cushion.

He's gone Over this number in three straight games with just 21 total field goal attempts. 

🔥 Bet QUETA Now at bet365!

Sam Hauser Over 9.5 points (-115)

Projection: 10.9 points

Sam Hauser’s role is simple: space the floor and shoot. If he gets his usual volume from deep, this number is well within reach. The projection puts Hauser close to 11, which makes 10 points a reasonable expectation.

He's gone Over this total in three of his last four games. 

🔥 Bet HAUSER Now at bet365!


Nuggets computer picks

Nikola Jokic Under 28.5 points (-120)

Projection: 25.8 points

Nikola Jokic can explode at any time, but the model sees more distribution than domination. If the defense sends help and forces the ball out early, Jokic’s scoring settles into the mid-20s. That gives this Under a solid path.

He's stayed Under this number in four of his last six games. 

🔥 Bet JOKIC Now at bet365!

Cameron Johnson Over 11.5 points (-112)

Projection: 12.8 points

Cameron Johnson doesn’t need high usage to clear this number. A few clean looks from three and one trip to the line puts him on pace. The projection has Johnson nearly a full bucket above the line.

He's gone Over this number in two of his last three games. 

🔥 Bet JOHNSON Now at bet365!

Jamal Murray Under 23.5 points (-120)

Projection: 22.3 points

Jamal Murray’s ceiling is obvious, but the projection leans slightly Under here. If shot volume dips or he shifts into more of a facilitator role, Murray lands closer to 22 than 25. It’s a thin edge — but still an edge.

He's gone Under this number in two of his last three games. 

🔥 Bet MURRAY Now at bet365!

How to watch Celtics vs Nuggets tonight

Location Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Date Wednesday, February 25, 2026
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Vasile Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris Vasile is a betting analyst with over 13 years of experience breaking down soccer betting markets, with additional coverage across the WNBA and NFL. He focuses on finding numbers that are slow to adjust — whether it’s due to scheduling spots, player usage, or recent form — and explaining why a line is worth playing. His work has appeared across major betting and sports media platforms, including Covers, VSiN, BetMGM Network, and SportsGrid, where he’s delivered sharp analysis on both mainstream and niche markets. At Covers, he contributes to major tournament coverage and daily betting content, with a particular focus on soccer. He also runs the Game Day Wagers YouTube channel, where he shares daily picks and betting insights tailored for serious bettors.

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