2026 NBA Draft Odds: Latest Lottery Projections & #1 Pick Favorites

The NBA regular season is reaching its conclusion, which means 2026 NBA Draft odds are a major focus for all the teams not participating in the postseason. 

This is also one of the most loaded drafts in recent memory, led by the "Big Three" prospects of A.J. Dybansta, Darryn Peterson, and Cameron Boozer.

The NBA Draft Lottery is scheduled for May 10, where we'll find out which team selects first, but for now, here are the latest odds for who will go No. 1 (where Dybantsa has taken a firm grasp of the top spot) at the NBA Draft on June 24.

2026 NBA Draft odds to go No. 1

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Player
AJ Dybantsa	-180
Darryn Peterson	+200
Cameron Boozer	+650
Darius Acuff Jr.	+10000
Caleb Wilson	+12500
Kingston Flemings	+20000
Keaton Wagler	+20000
Jayden Quaintance	+20000
Koa Peat	+20000
Mikel Brown Jr.	+20000
Nate Ament	+20000

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2026 NBA Mock Draft: Top 5 Scouting Reports

The 2026 class is defined by a "Big Three" at the top, followed by high-upside versatile wings. Here is how the top of the board looks as we head toward March Madness.

1. AJ Dybantsa | SF | BYU

2025-26 stats: 25.3 ppg, 6.7 rpg, 51.3 FG%
*Wooden Award Finalist

Dybantsa is the most "pro-ready" scorer in the class. Standing 6-foot-9, with a 7-foot wingspan, he led the nation in scoring. He is explosive in driving to the paint, and getting to the free-throw line a lot, and he has a strong mid-range game... plus he has greatly improved as a playmaker and ball handler as the season progressed.

2. Darryn Peterson | G | Kansas

2025-26 stats: 19.8 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 33.8 3PT%

Bill Self has called Peterson the best recruit he’s ever landed at Kansas, as the 6-foot-5 combo guard has elite body control and a methodical scoring pace. He has dealt with minor hamstring and ankle issues this season, but remains the draft's best pure scorer as he can bully smaller guards in the post or pull up from 30 feet with ease.

3. Cameron Boozer | PF | Duke

2025-26 stats: 22.5 ppg, 10.2 rpg, 56.5 FG%
*Wooden Award Finalist

The son of former NBA player Carlos Boozer, Cam is the most productive player in college basketball. He's not as flashy (or may not have quite as high a ceiling) as the wings above him, but Boozer has the highest floor of any player in the draft to turn out as a highly productive player. He is an elite short-roll passer, a solid defender, and can also hit jumpers from a distance.

4. Darius Acuff Jr. | G | Arkansas

2025-26 stats: 22.9 ppg, 6.5 apg, 47.1 3PT%

The SEC Player of the Year is an elite scorer at every level, especially dangerous in isolation sets, and he has done something that all coaches love: Raised his game when it matters most; he averaged 28.4 ppg the last two months, including almost 30 ppg in the SEC tournament and the Big Dance. His biggest concern — and the reason he's lagging behind the "Big 3" — is questions about how well he can defend at the pro level.

5. Caleb Wilson | F | North Carolina

2025-26 stats: 19.8 ppg, 9.4 rpg, 57.8 FG%

Possibly the most athletic player in the draft, Wilson has major hops and a relentless motor, which combine well with his elite speed at 6-foot-10. He's a raw player: He struggles to finish at the rim, is not a 3-point threat at all right now, and has issues in off-ball defense, but his potential is as high as any player in the draft. Unfortunately, we didn't get to see him in the Big Dance as he had season-ending thumb surgery at the beginning of March.

NBA mock draft comparison table

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Current 2026 NBA Draft Lottery odds

The three teams finishing with the worst record in the NBA all have equal odds of winning the first-overall pick. while the fourth and fifth-worst teams also have odds better than 10% to land No. 1.

*New Orleans traded its unprotected 2026 first-round pick to Atlanta for Derik Queen at the 2025 draft.

NBA Draft betting trends

Here are some recent trends you'll want to keep in mind when betting on NBA Draft odds:

• Positions have been reasonably well-distributed among the No. 1 picks. Over the past 21 NBA Drafts, nine have been forwards, seven guards, and five centers.
  
  
• "One-and-done" college freshmen make up the overwhelming majority of recent top picks, being selected No. 1 in 16 of the past 19 seasons since high schoolers were ruled ineligible.
  
  
• Among NCAA schools, Duke leads the all-time count with five No. 1-overall picks, including Paolo Banchero in 2022.

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History of first overall NBA Draft picks

Cooper Flagg's selection last year ended a two-year stretch of international players taken No. 1 — after just one such player (Andrea Bargnani, 2006) was selected in the previous 17 years. 

Year	Player	Position
2025	Cooper Flagg	SF
2024	Zaccharie Riscacher	SF
2023	Victor Wembanyama	C
2022	Paolo Banchero	PF
2021	Cade Cunningham	PG
2020	Anthony Edwards	SG
2019	Zion Williamson	PF
2018	Deandre Ayton	C
2017	Markelle Fultz	PG
2016	Ben Simmons	PG/F
2015	Karl-Anthony Towns	C
2014	Andrew Wiggins	G/F
2013	Anthony Bennett	PF
2012	Anthony Davis	PF
2011	Kyrie Irving	PG
2010	John Wall	PG
2009	Blake Griffin	PF
2008	Derrick Rose	PG
2007	Greg Oden	C
2006	Andrea Bargnani	F/C
2005	Andrew Bogut	C
2004	Dwight Howard	C
2003	LeBron James	SF/PF
2002	Yao Ming	C
2001	Kwame Brown	C
2000	Kenyon Martin	PF

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