They say everything is bigger in Texas, and my Wurth 400 sleeper picks are hoping that's the case when it comes to the NASCAR Cup Series odds on Sunday's winner at Texas Motor Speedway.
See why my free betting picks for May 3 have identified Daniel Suarez as one of the best value bets on the board.
Wurth 400 sleeper picks
- Wallace (+1800)
- Keselowski (+1800)
- Suarez (+5500)
Picks were made on 5-1.
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Wurth 400 sleeper predictions
Sleeper pick to win: Bubba Wallace
+1800 at DraftKings
Success at Texas was elusive for Bubba Wallace early on in his career, but he's begun to piece it together.
Wallace ran third while leading 111 laps here in September 2023, placing in both stages. He followed that up in April 2024 with a seventh, including five laps led and another two stage placements.
Wallace failed to lead any laps at Texas last May but placed fifth in Stage 2. However, a late-race accident doomed him to a 33rd-place result.
That last effort could serve to muddy his form a bit, as might his accident at Talladega last Sunday, and keep these odds nice and healthy.
Sleeper pick to win: Brad Keselowski
+1800 at DraftKings
Brad Keselowski had a string of six straight Top 10s at Texas interrupted last May, where he ran 28th, by a crash.
Those Top 10s were not cheapies either, as he completed the exacta twice in that span. He also led laps three times and recorded seven stage placings.
Keselowski has run sixth and second, respectively, in the last two intermediate tracks on the Cup Series circuit (Kansas and Darlington).
Sleeper pick to win: Daniel Suarez
+5500 at DraftKings
Daniel Suarez has just two wins from 333 career Cup Series starts, but he did take the All-Star Open at Texas Motor Speedway back in 2022, and followed that up with a fifth in the All-Star Race itself.
Since those exhibition events, Suarez has run 12th, eighth, fifth, and 10th at Texas, and recorded three stage placings.
Suarez has only one DNF this season as he's been figuring things out at Spire Motorsports, and his overall average finish on the year ranks 13th, not bad at all for a 50-1 shot.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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