NASCAR Cracker Barrel 400 Predictions, Odds & Picks — Nashville Superspeedway

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: May 29, 2026 , 12:06 PM ET • 4 min read

Robert Criscola presents his picks and predictions for Sunday's Cracker Barrel 400!

Tyler Reddick NASCAR Cup Series
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Tyler Reddick during the Coca-Cola 600.

🏁Cracker Barrel 400: Key takeaways

  • Best pre-qualifying bet: Tyler Reddick (+700) — Good form at Nashville, great form in '26.
  • Best pre-qualifying value: Chase Elliott (+1200) — Already owns a win here.
  • Best pre-qualifying prop bet: William Byron (-115) over Chase Briscoe — No. 19 driver hasn't done much here.
  • Track: Skill at Dover, Darlington typically transfers to this concrete 1 1/3-mile oval.
  • Weather: Rain early in the day could make for a "green" track, increasing tire wear early on.

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Cracker Barrel 400 odds: Favorites & full field

The Cracker Barrel 400 runs at 6 p.m. ET on Prime Video. Below are the latest outright odds, followed by the picks and market-by-market best bets we like this week.

Driver DraftKings
Denny Hamlin +450
Tyler Reddick +700
Christopher Bell +700
Ryan Blaney +750
Kyle Larson +750
William Byron +1200
Chase Elliott +1200
Chase Briscoe +1200
Joey Logano +1600
Ross Chastain +1800
Ty Gibbs +1800
Carson Hocevar +2000
Chris Buescher +2800
Bubba Wallace +3000
Brad Keselowski +4000
Daniel Suarez +5000
Josh Berry +6500
Alex Bowman +6500
Austin Cindric +6500
Ryan Preece +7000

Odds as of 5-29.

Check out the full Cracker Barrel 400 field here. 


Best bets card (updated Friday)

  • Outright: Tyler Reddick (+700) 
  • Outright: Chase Elliott (+1200)
  • Top 5: Erik Jones (+1100)
  • Matchup: William Byron (-115) over Chase Briscoe

Who's hot? Who's not?

  • 🔥 Denny Hamlin — Has led at least 21 laps in five of last six overall.
  • ❄️ Carson Hocevar — 14th or worse in three straight races.

Track breakdown: What wins at Nashville Superspeedway?

  • Nashville, a 1 1/3-mile concrete oval, is considered a blend between Dover, a concrete one-mile oval, and 1 1/2-mile "cookie cutter" asphalt tracks like Charlotte.
  • Handling issues will crop up all race long given the change in temperature as day turns into night, coupled with likely rain during the day.

Key stats & driver profiles to target

  • Toyota has yet to win at Nashville through five Cup Series races.
  • Three of the five winners at Nashville had a Top 5 starting position.

Drivers to watch

  • Ross Chastain is one of only two drivers with three Top 5s at Nashville (Kyle Larson being the other).
  • Denny Hamlin is tops in average starting position here (5.0).

Odds movement & market notes

  • Given how good Tyler Reddick has been this year, a solid qualifying run could see him drop from +700.
  • By contrast, Ryan Blaney (+750) has missed the Top 10 in qualifying here in four of five tries, so look for his odds to rise.

Outright picks: Winners to bet

Pick 1: Tyler Reddick to win (+700)

A fair price for Reddick's potential sixth win of '26.

  • Track Fit: Led laps in three straight races at Nashville.
  • Recent Form: Top 5 in three straight points-paying races.
  • Market Value: Playable even at +500.

Risk: On a four-race losing streak, his longest of the season.

Pick made on Friday, May 29.

Pick 2: Chase Elliott to win (+1200)

Back class at Nashville, Dover puts Elliott in the hunt.

  • Track Fit: Owns two Top 5s in last four years here, including a win.
  • Recent Form: Wrecked at Charlotte but won the last intermediate track race (Texas).
  • Market Value: +900 would still be fair.

Risk: Six other drivers have led more laps than Elliott this year.

Pick made on Friday, May 29.


Best Top 5 bets

Pick: Erik Jones to finish Top 5 (+1100)

Don't sleep on the No. 43 driver.

  • Track Fit: Earned a 105.7 rating at Nashville last season, his second-best mark of 2025.
  • Recent Form: Trending up with four straight Top 20s, including a third at Dover.
  • Market Value: Anything above +750 is value.

Risk: Has two Top 10s all year in points-paying races.

Pick made on Friday, May 29.


Best matchup & head-to-head bets

Pick: William Byron (-115) over Chase Briscoe

There just isn't much to endorse in Briscoe's form here.

  • Matchup Advantage: Byron has finished sixth or better at Nashville three times.
  • Key Stat: Briscoe's best finish all-time here is 17th.

Risk: Byron has missed the Top 15 here twice.

Pick made on Friday, May 29.


How to watch the Cracker Barrel 400

Location: Nashville Superspeedway, Lebanon, TN
Date: Sunday, May 31, 2026
Start time: 6 p.m. ET
TV: Prime Video

Check out the full weekend schedule for the 2026 Cracker Barrel 400.


Nashville Superspeedway weather

There's a 75% chance of precipitation on race day in Lebanon, TN, but it dips to 10% when the green flag is expected to wave. A "green" race track may necessitate a "competition caution" during Stage 1 to give teams a chance to assess tire wear.


Previous Cracker Barrel 400 winners

Year Winner Manufacturer
2025 Ryan Blaney Ford
2024 Joey Logano Ford
2023 Ross Chastain Chevrolet
2022 Chase Elliott Chevrolet
2021 Kyle Larson Chevrolet

Cracker Barrel 400 betting FAQ

When is the 2026 Cracker Barrel 400?

The 2026 Cracker Barrel 400 will be held at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, May 31.

Where will the 2026 Cracker Barrel 400 be held?

Nashville Superspeedway is the site for the Cracker Barrel 400.

Who is the 2026 Cracker Barrel 400 favorite?

Denny Hamlin is favored to win the Cracker Barrel 400.

Who won the Cracker Barrel 400 last year?

Last year's Cracker Barrel 400 was won by Ryan Blaney.

How do Cracker Barrel 400 prop bets work?

In addition to outright win betting, there are lines for Top 3s, 5s, 10s, and driver vs. driver props.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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