NASCAR Go Bowling at The Glen Predictions, Odds & Best Bets — Watkins Glen International

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: May 10, 2026 , 09:12 AM ET • 4 min read

The NASCAR Cup Series tackles its second road course of the season, and Robert Criscola presents his top picks and predictions for Watkins Glen.

NASCAR Cup Series Michael McDowell
Photo By - Reuters Connect. NASCAR Cup Series driver Michael McDowell.

Last Updated: Sunday, May 10 at 9:10 a.m. ET.

🏁Go Bowling at The Glen: Key takeaways

  • Best post-qualifying bet: Michael McDowell Top 3 (+550) — strong road racer qualified second.
  • Best pre-qualifying bet: Christopher Bell (+1000) — Arguably second-most consistent road racer in Cup Series.
  • Best pre-qualifying value: Chase Elliott (-120) over Kyle Larson — Fade the feast-or-famine Larson.
  • Best pre-qualifying prop bet: William Byron Top 5 (+185) — A prior winner here in good form overall.
  • Track: Raw speed meets technicality at Watkins Glen.
  • Weather: Cool conditions expected under cloudy skies.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Go Bowling at The Glen odds: Favorites & full field

The Go Bowling at The Glen runs at 3 p.m. ET on FS1. Below are the latest outright odds, followed by the picks and market-by-market best bets we like this week.

Driver DraftKings
Shane Van Gisbergen -135
Connor Zilisch +390
Christopher Bell +900
Tyler Reddick +1200
Ty Gibbs +1400
Chris Buescher +1800
Michael McDowell +2000
Austin Cindric +2200
Chase Elliott +2500
Ross Chastain +2500
Carson Hocevar +3000
Ryan Blaney +3500
Chase Briscoe +3500
William Byron +4000
Kyle Larson +4500

Odds as of 5-10.

Check out the full Go Bowling at The Glen qualifying order here.


Best bets card (updated Sunday)

  • Top 3: Michael McDowell (+550)
  • Outright: Christopher Bell (+1000)
  • Top 5: William Byron (+185)
  • Matchup: Chase Elliott (-120) over Kyle Larson

Who's hot? Who's not?

  • 🔥 Denny Hamlin — Top 10 in seven of last nine overall.
  • ❄️ Joey Logano — 30th or worse in three straight races.

Track breakdown: What wins at Watkins Glen?

  • Watkins Glen is not as technical as road courses like COTA, with only 11 turns on the short circuit used by the Cup Series, so road specialists don't hold as big an edge.
  • NASCAR will be limiting the amount of run-off space with tire barriers, which could make it more difficult to pass. Therefore, maintaining track position is even more important than usual.

Key stats & driver profiles to target

  • Chevrolet has won six of the last seven Cup Series races at Watkins Glen.
  • Top 5 starting positions have accounted for 67.5% of all Cup Series wins here.

Drivers to watch

  • Kyle Busch is second among active drivers in average starting position at Watkins Glen.
  • Alex Bowman has qualified Top 10 in back-to-back Go Bowling at the Glens.

Odds movement & market notes

  • William Byron missed the Top 10 in qualifying and drifted from +1400 to +4000.
  • It was a poor Saturday for Hendrick overall, with Chase Elliott (+1600 to +2500), Kyle Larson (+1800 to +4500), and Alex Bowman (+4000 to +9000) all going the wrong way.
  • Ty Gibbs (+2500 to +1400) took money after qualifying 10th.
  • Shane Van Gisbergen could get longer if he qualifies poorly, but that's been rare for him. However, Connor Zilisch fared poorly in qualifying at COTA and saw his odds spike from the +285 range to around +750 on race day.
  • Road course sharpies Michael McDowell and AJ Allmendinger should see their odds drop on race day if they qualify well.

Outright picks: Winners to bet

Pick: Christopher Bell to win (+1000)

Underrated road racer can spring a mild upset. 

  • Track Fit: Second here in 2025.
  • Recent Form: Top 5 in four straight road races.
  • Market Value: Playable down to +700.

Risk: SVG has proven tough to beat at similar venues.

Pick made on Saturday, 5-9.


Best top finish bets

Pick: Michael McDowell to finish Top 3 (+550)

Great value following P2 qualifying effort.

  • Track Fit: Led laps in three of last four races here.
  • Recent Form: Sixth in average rating on road courses since 2023.
  • Market Value: I'd play it all the way down to +400.

Risk: Has never run Top 3 here.

Pick made on Sunday, 5-10.

Pick: William Byron to finish Top 5 (+185)

Has recent enough road course wins to run back to.

  • Track Fit: Took the 2023 edition of this race.
  • Recent Form: Top 10 in six of last eight overall.
  • Market Value: +150 is the lowest I'd go.

Risk: Missed the Top 5 in four of last five road races.

Pick made on Saturday, 5-9.


Best matchup & head-to-head bets

Pick: Chase Elliott (-120) over Kyle Larson

Elliott doesn't need to run back to Gen 6 form to prevail.

  • Matchup Advantage: Elliott holds edge in average rating here, and at all road courses.
  • Key Stat: Larson has missed Top 5 in six of last seven road races.

Risk: Elliott missed the Top 10 in three straight here.

Pick made on Saturday, 5-9.


How to watch the Go Bowling at The Glen

Location: Watkins Glen International, Dix, NY
Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
Start time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: FS1

Check out the full weekend schedule for the 2026 Go Bowling at The Glen.


Watkins Glen weather

Overcast conditions are expected on a 60-degree day in Dix, NY. There's a 20% chance of precipitation, so NASCAR will make preparations with rain tires and windshield wipers at the ready.


Previous Go Bowling at The Glen winners

Year Winner Manufacturer
2025 Shane Van Gisbergen Chevrolet
2024 Chris Buescher Ford
2023 William Byron Chevrolet
2022 Kyle Larson Chevrolet
2021 Kyle Larson Chevrolet

Go Bowling at The Glen betting FAQ

When is the 2026 Go Bowling at The Glen?

The 2026 Go Bowling at The Glen will be held on Sunday, May 10 at 3 p.m. ET on FS1.

Where will the 2026 Go Bowling at The Glen be held?

Watkins Glen International in Dix, NY will host the 2026 Go Bowling at The Glen.

Who is the 2026 Go Bowling at The Glen favorite?

Shane Van Gisbergen is the -135 favorite.

Who won the Go Bowling at The Glen last year?

Shane Van Gisbergen is the defending champion of this race.

How do Go Bowling at The Glen prop bets work?

If you don't want to wager on and outright winner, consider bets on drivers to finish in the Top 3, 5, or 10. There are also numerous head-to-head driver matchup props on offer.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo