Yankees vs Cardinals Prediction, Picks & Odds — Sunday, August 17

Aaron Judge is starting to heat up, and he'll prove to a problem for Miles Mikolas tonight.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Aug 17, 2025 • 10:08 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 2 hrs
STL
44 %
NYY
56 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Aaron Judge o1.5  Total Bases (-125) Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-125)
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Aaron Judge New York Yankees MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Judge gets a base knock.

Aaron Judge took some time to find his game after returning from injury, but it’s trending in the right direction now.

My Yankees vs. Cardinals predictions expect a recent power surge to continue against the struggling Miles Mikolas.

Let’s take a closer look at my MLB picks for August 17.

Yankees vs Cardinals prediction

Yankees vs Cardinals best bet: Aaron Judge Over 1.5 total bases (-125)

Aaron Judge hasn’t quite returned to the peak of his powers following an injury absence, but he sure appears to be getting close.

The New York Yankees slugger has homered in two of his past four games, headlined by a six total base performance in Saturday’s back-and-forth win.

Judge now draws an advantageous matchup against Miles Mikolas. His ERA is sitting just a touch below 5.0 on the season, and he’s allowed 21 homers through 117 innings. Suffice to say, a power hitter like Judge should be able to make noise.

Judge also excels against Mikolas’ pitch mix of sliders, fastballs, and sinkers at least 24% of the time vs. right-handed bats. New York’s captain has hit .292 against the slider, .337 against the fastball, and .417 against the sinker while combining for 20 homers.

There are a lot of arrows pointing up for Judge in this matchup. Don’t be surprised if he puts forth another big offensive showing.

Yankees vs Cardinals same-game parlay (SGP)

Giancarlo Stanton is red hot at the dish, driving in eight runs over his last eight games while generating an average exit velocity of 96.4 miles per hour spanning the last 25 at bats.

He's also nuking baseballs, and given Mikolas’ inability to limit power, this seems like a great spot for Stanton to build on his recent run.

For the St. Louis Cardinals, Alec Burleson stands out as a likely candidate to do some damage. He’s hitting .286 against righties on the season and has shown real power (.206 ISO, six homers) against Will Warren’s most used pitch, the fastball.

Yankees vs Cardinals odds

  • Moneyline: New York -135 | St. Louis +122
  • Run line: New York -1.5 (+118) | St. Louis +1.5 (-133)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+103) | Under 9.5 (-118)

Yankees vs Cardinals trend

Aaron Judge has averaged 2.6 total bases on the road this season. Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Cardinals.

How to watch Yankees vs Cardinals and game info

Location Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
Date Sunday, August 17, 2025
First pitch 2:15 p.m. ET
TV YES, FanDuel Sports Network-Midwest, SN+
Yankees starting pitcher Will Warren
(7-5, 4.34 ERA)
Cardinals starting pitcher Miles Mikolas
(6-9, 4.97 ERA)

Yankees vs Cardinals latest injuries

Yankees vs Cardinals weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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