Yankees vs Brewers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Chris Hatfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Hatfield • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: May 9, 2026 , 01:20 PM ET • 4 min read

Hatfield's prediction: Schlittler is the key to a low-scoring Yankees win.

MLB

May 09 • 7:10 PM ET
NYY
56 %
MIL
44 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u7.5 (-115)
See Today's Picks
Cam Schlittler New York Yankees MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Cam Schlittler of the New York Yankees.

Following a Friday loss, the Yankees aim to bounce back and level the series in Milwaukee tonight.

This evening’s contest features Cam Schlittler taking on Kyle Harrison, a pitching duel where New York holds a nice advantage.

Read all about it in my Brewers vs. Yankees predictions and MLB picks for Saturday, May 9.

Who will win Yankees vs Brewers today: Yankees moneyline (-135)

Cam Schlittler's started the season at an elite level and has remained consistent. He’s as good as any pitcher in baseball this year, and he has a matchup edge here. I’d play the Yankees to -170 because of it. 

His fastball run value ranks in the 100th percentile of the sport, and his 96th percentile chase rate of just over 38% gives him an elite out-of-zone weapon against a Milwaukee Brewers lineup that must be disciplined to survive him.

The Brew Crew simply doesn’t have the profile of a team that’s going to hurt a guy with a lot of swing-and-miss stuff.

On the other side of things, Kyle Harrison is a talented pitcher, but his Bottom 24 percentile off-speed stuff may give him issues.

This feels like a scenario where a pitcher getting off his fastball (which the Yankees force) is more detrimental than actually throwing the pitch. We’ve seen it a few times this season, though, and it usually works out for New York.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Cam Schlitter’s has the highest overall run value for a starting pitcher in baseball.

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Yankees vs Brewers Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (-115)

The story of the total is Schlittler, as you might expect. The Under has cashed in three of the last four starts. 

Although I picked the New York Yankees to win, I don't think their offense will do enough to push this Over on its own.

Harrison will have some issues in this matchup, but his hard-hit suppression (88th percentile) and barrel rate (73rd percentile) should keep the Yankees offense in check. I’d play this to -120.

Chris Hatfield's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 14-13, +1.36 units
  • Over/Under bets: 17-11, +7.72 units

Yankees vs Brewers odds

  • Moneyline: Yankees -137 | Brewers +124
  • Run line: Yankees -1.5 | Brewers +1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5

Yankees vs Brewers trend

The Yankees have hit the moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 34% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Brewers.

How to watch Yankees vs Brewers and game info

Location American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date Saturday, May 9, 2026
First pitch 7:10 p.m. ET
TV YES, Brewers.TV
Yankees starting pitcher Cam Schlittler
(5-1, 1.52 ERA)
Brewers starting pitcher Kyle Harrison
(3-1, 2.12 ERA)

Yankees vs Brewers latest injuries

Yankees vs Brewers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Hatfield - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris has always had a passion for three things: solving problems, sports, and writing. It’s no wonder then that he found himself attracted to the sports betting industry. You can find Chris betting every day. Whether it’s shot prop markets in Champions League Soccer qualifiers or NBA Summer League, he has no offseason. As an EV+ bettor, he especially values the insight gained through a data-driven approach.

His work has been featured on various websites such as SBNation, Rivals, Bleacher Report, and 247Sports. He has appeared on radio outlets such as ESPN 680 and The Sharp 600 podcast. You can listen to his own podcast, “What High School Did You Go To?” on Apple Podcast and Soundcloud.

Chris has carved out a niche as a college basketball originator with massive profitability success in that sport and stresses one piece of advice to sports bettors: exploit edges as broadly as possible and take advantage of them while they last. His preferred sportsbook is bet365 because of the range of markets you can find.

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