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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 5, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.97 |
+162 
|
o7.5 -120 
|
+1.5 -139 
|
|
5.15 |
-177
|
u8.0 -114 
|
-1.5 +120 
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Giants last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Giants last 4 games following a loss.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Thorntons last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.73 |
-134 
|
o8.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
3.70 |
+125
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -145
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in Assads last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Assads last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Assads last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Cubs are 6-0 in Assads last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
o0.5+176
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
+143
|
o8.0 -115
|
+2.5 -275 
|
|
5.28 |
-153
|
u8.5 -118
|
-2.5 +200
|
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Phillies last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Wheelers last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
o0.5+181
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.80 |
+143
|
o7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
3.75 |
-153
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +142
|
Detroit
- Under is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Valdezs last 5 road starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Valdezs last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Valdezs last 4 starts as a favorite.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Guardians are 7-1 in Messicks last 8 starts as an underdog.
Top Projection
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5+260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.51 |
-153
|
o9.0 -114
|
-1.5 +104
|
|
4.90 |
+143
|
u9.5 -130
|
+1.5 -115
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 road games.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
Cincinnati
- Over is 6-0 in Reds last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.99 |
+170
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
4.68 |
-177
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +125
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Angels last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Kikuchis last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 road games.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Pirates last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.25 |
-140
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
4.29 |
+130
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -135
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 9-0 in Grays last 9 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Grays last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Grays last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Baltimore
- Over is 8-0 in Bassitts last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Bassitts last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 9-1 in Bassitts last 10 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)
o0.5+201
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.72 |
-105
|
o6.5 -124
|
+1.5 -245
|
|
3.93 |
-105
|
u7.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +195
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in Rasmussens last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Rays are 6-0 in Rasmussens last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Rays are 6-0 in Rasmussens last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 7-0 in Rangers last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5+270
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.57 |
+101
|
o9.5 -110
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
5.69 |
-104
|
u9.5 -105
|
+1.5 -170
|
Toronto
- Over is 4-0-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Scherzers last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 overall.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Lugos last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Lugos last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Lugos last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
o1.5+130
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.60 |
+107
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -196
|
|
4.42 |
-115
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +170
|
Minnesota
- Twins are 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+120)
o1.5+120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.11 |
-102
|
o7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
4.36 |
-105
|
u8.0 -118
|
+1.5 -190
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rodons last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Yankees are 7-1 in Rodons last 8 starts as a road favorite.
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Ben Rice o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.72 |
-105
|
o5.5 -481
|
+2.5 -500
|
|
4.50 |
-105
|
u8.5 -110
|
-2.5 +290
|
Arizona
- Over is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Pfaadts last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Pfaadts last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Houston
- Under is 6-0-1 in Astros last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.44 |
-120
|
o10.5 -118
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
5.77 |
+110
|
u11.0 -115
|
+1.5 -145
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Colorado
- Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.89 |
+198
|
o7.0 -110
|
+2.0 -190
|
|
4.41 |
-216
|
u7.5 -120
|
-2.0 +155
|
Washington
- Under is 5-0-1 in Cavallis last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Nationals are 5-0 in Cavallis last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Nationals are 5-0 in Cavallis last 5 starts on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Dodgers are 8-1 in Glasnows last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Dodgers are 7-1 in Glasnows last 8 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+263)
o0.5+263
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.54 |
+218
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 +100
|
|
4.64 |
-245
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 -114
|
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 road games.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 games as a road underdog.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Kirbys last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
- Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 games on grass.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+237
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.58 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.26 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 road games.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 overall.
Cincinnati
- Over is 6-0 in Reds last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 6-2 in Reds last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.90 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.93 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Phillies are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.
- Over is 10-1-1 in Phillies last 12 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.58 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.85 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Over is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 on grass.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.51 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Angels last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 road games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 games as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
- Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.70 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.30 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 overall.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Guardians are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.86 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.82 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Marlins last 7 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.41 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.47 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 on grass.
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.49 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 road games.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.60 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Houston
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 home games.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 1-0-3 in Astros last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.13 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Rays are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 road games.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
- Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
SF
@
NYM
Sat, Sep 5 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+271)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Total
o7.5 (-123)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Over 7.5 is a Mets-driven angle, but the number is low enough to attack. New York has scored 20 runs across its last two games, while both offenses are slightly above league average lately and San Francisco’s bullpen should enter early.
CHC
@
MIA
Sat, Sep 5 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Michael Busch has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.3-mph EV.. Michael Busch's launch angle in recent games (25.1° in the last two weeks) is considerably better than his 15.8° seasonal figure.
Total RBIs
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+184)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Alex Bregman has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.5% seasonal rate to 14.6% in the last two weeks.. Placing in the 77th percentile, Alex Bregman sports a .342 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.. As it relates to plate discipline, Alex Bregman's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.54 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 86th percentile.
ATL
@
PHI
Sat, Sep 5 • 6:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Trea Turner o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Trea Turner has a nice history against Martin Perez, hitting .294 with an ISO just under .300.
He is also in excellent form facing Perez’ pitch mix. Turner’s average exit velocity is up nearly four miles per hour over the last 25 plate appearances, and his hard hit rate has soared to nearly 70% along the way.
Moneyline
PHI (-155)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Zack Wheeler is in a sneaky good spot to get back on track against the Atlanta Braves. They have quietly struggled against righties over the last month, sitting 25th in wOBA and 26th in xwOBA.
I have higher expectations for the Philadelphia Phillies offense against Martin Perez. He continues to be a prime regression candidate, posting a 2.28 ERA the past 30 days despite a ballooning 4.99 xERA.
Play to 63%.
DET
@
CLE
Sat, Sep 5 • 6:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+264)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Progressive Field ranks as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Spencer Torkelson will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Chase DeLauter o0.5 Total RBIs (+212)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Chase DeLauter is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #2 field in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. Chase DeLauter has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
MIL
@
CIN
Sat, Sep 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+138)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Hector Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+143)
Projection 1.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hector Rodriguez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB.. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.
LAA
@
PIT
Sat, Sep 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Wade Meckler o0.5 Total RBIs (+320)
Projection 0.37
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wade Meckler as the 8th-best hitter in the league when assessing his BABIP talent.. Wade Meckler is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for left-handed BABIP.. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate at 79%.. Wade Meckler will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Ashcraft in today's game.
Strikeouts Thrown
Yusei Kikuchi o10.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+2250)
Projection 6.29
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Yusei Kikuchi in the 75th percentile among all SPs in the league.. Yusei Kikuchi has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, tallying 5.4 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average starting pitcher.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-prone lineup today is the Pittsburgh Pirates with a 27.5% underlying K%.. Vic Carapazza profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be umping in this game.. Yusei Kikuchi has added a cut-fastball to his arsenal this year and has mixed it in 11.9% of the time.
BOS
@
BAL
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+117)
Projection 1.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest.. Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split.. Wilyer Abreu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 16.7% to 21.4%.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best batter in baseball.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Pete Alonso has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Pete Alonso will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. Pete Alonso has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 97.9-mph.
TB
@
TEX
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:05 PM ET
Moneyline
TEX (-103)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Texas is swinging the bats at an elite level, ranking second in MLB with a 124 wRC+ over the last fortnight. Jacob deGrom at home as a plus-money underdog against a flat Tampa Bay offense (84 wRC+) is the clearest form-versus-price discrepancy on the entire Saturday slate.
Total Bases
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage today.. Jake Burger has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.8% seasonal rate to 24% over the last two weeks.
TOR
@
KC
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-109)
Projection 2.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average talent.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast predicts the most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.01
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carter Jensen in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Carter Jensen is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast predicts the most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
MIN
@
CHW
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Kody Clemens u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kody Clemens's BABIP skill is projected in the 12th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Given Anthony Kay's large platoon split, Kody Clemens will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's game.. Kody Clemens will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.. When it comes to plate discipline, Kody Clemens's ability is quite bad, posting a 3.53 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 14th percentile.. Checking in at the 14th percentile, Kody Clemens sports a .257 BABIP this year.
Total Bases
Ryan Jeffers o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate today (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.
NYY
@
SD
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
NYY (-105)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Carlos Rodón and Robbie Ray should duel, but New York holds the offensive edge. The Yankees boast a 112 wRC+ over the last 14 days, compared to San Diego’s sluggish 91 wRC+. With pricing set essentially at pick'em, back the lineup producing extra-base hits at a higher rate.
Total Bases
Freddy Fermin o1.5 Total Bases (+280)
Projection 1.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Freddy Fermin will have the upper hand in today's game.. Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today's game.. Freddy Fermin's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 10.8% to 16.6%.
AZ
@
HOU
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
HOU (-105)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
At near pick'em odds, Houston has the decisive bullpen advantage. Houston relievers have dominated with a 3.02 FIP and 3.55 SIERA over the last two weeks. Arizona’s offense is sputtering down at an 84 wRC+, making Ethan Pecko and the Astros' superior bullpen the correct side tonight.
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage over Ethan Pecko in today's matchup.. Corbin Carroll has notched a .378 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 95th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Sporting a 32.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Corbin Carroll has performed in the 92nd percentile for power.
STL
@
COL
Sat, Sep 5 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.25
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the game's 12th-best home run batter.. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.
Total Bases
Ivan Herrera o1.5 Total Bases (-108)
Projection 2.05
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.
WAS
@
LAD
Sat, Sep 5 • 9:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Max Muncy u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #10 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Max Muncy pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-deepest RF fences today.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.. Max Muncy has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 13.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 4.8% over the last two weeks.. Max Muncy's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 96.2-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 93-mph in the last 7 days.
Total Bases
Hunter Feduccia u1.5 Total Bases (-320)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
ATH
@
SEA
Sat, Sep 5 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Cal Raleigh u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup.
Total Home Runs
Josh Naylor o0.5 Total Home Runs (+950)
Projection 0.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Naylor is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the 7th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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