Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Dustin Saracini -  - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Dustin Saracini • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 15, 2026 , 09:49 AM ET • 4 min read

For as good as Cam Schlittler has been for the New York Yankees, the Toronto Blue Jays have owned him during his young career. Can they do so once more tonight and win their sixth straight series?

Ernie Clement Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Toronto Blue Jays second baseman Ernie Clement (22) celebrates as he runs the bases on his solo home run against the Philadelphia Phillies during the fifth inning at Rogers Centre.

You know Toronto is on a heater when I can't stray from riding with them as part of my Blue Jays vs. Yankees prediction - even on a bullpen day.

The Toronto Blue Jays are now just one game back of the Wild Card and are going for their sixth straight series win today as +150 underdogs against the New York Yankees at BET99.

Let’s dive into my MLB picks for Saturday, Aug. 15, and cash a same-game parlay, shall we?

Yankees vs Blue Jays predictions

Yankees vs Blue Jays best bet: Blue Jays +1.5 (-120)

For as good as Cam Schlittler has been for the New York Yankees - he and Dylan Cease are in a battle for AL Cy Young odds - the Toronto Blue Jays have owned him during his young career.

The Jays own a .290 xBA against the young right-hander and are striking out at just a 17% clip, which is incredible considering Schlittler owns a 31.4% K rate this year.

On the other side, Brayden Fisher has made quick work of these Yankees, striking New York out 43% of the time over a smaller sample size (21 at-bats). We're rocking with the rested bullpen to keep this one close.

I'd play this one up to -130 at BET99.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Ernie Clement gets the job done in this matchup, and has gone 5-for-12 with a .390 xBA against Schlittler in his career. If Toronto wins, he'll be at the center of it.

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Yankees vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

The Under is a perfect 5-0 in the Blue Jays' last five home games against a righty, and 6-1 in their last seven when they're a home underdog. The way both of these offenses are performing as of late, I would expect another low-scoring, close, gritty game.

Elsewhere, I'm giving Clement the benefit of the doubt - he has yet to strike out against Schlittler and owns a .327 xwOBA in this matchup. Let's cash this one.

Yankees vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Blue Jays +1.5
  • Ernie Clement 2+ H/R/RBI
  • Under 7.5

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Yankees vs Blue Jays home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+675)

Kazuma Okamoto is the only guy in this lineup with a homer off Schlittler and has quietly come into his own lately, registering four hits across his last four games. The strikeout numbers are still there, but I'll rock with his 43.8% hard-hit rate to get the job done for us tonight.

2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bets: 2-3, -0.05 units 
  • SGPs: 0-5, -1.0 units
  • HR picks: 0-5, -1.0 units

Yankees vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: New York (-175) | Toronto (+150)
  • Run line: New York -1.5 | Toronto +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+100) | Under 7.5 (-100)

Yankees vs Blue Jays trend

Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last four home games vs. a right-handed starter - that bodes well for us today. Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Yankees vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Saturday, Aug. 15, 2026
First pitch 3:07 p.m. ET
TV YES, Sportsnet
Yankees starting pitcher Cam Schlittler
(10-6, 2.21 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Braydon Fisher
(3-3, 3.54 ERA)

Yankees vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Yankees vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Dustin Saracini
Betting Analyst

Dustin Saracini is a betting analyst at Covers with over 14 years of experience in the sports betting industry. Throughout his career, Dustin has hosted multiple betting shows- breaking down NBA, NFL, PGA, and MLB markets alongside top handicappers - and has appeared as a Super Bowl consultant for CNN. A disciplined daily bettor who extensively line-shops across FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars, his sharpest edges lie in MLB and the NFL (followed closely by the NHL and NBA). A self-proclaimed NRFI guru targeting his second straight +10u MLB season, Dustin holds a Broadcast Journalism degree from Western University (2014). For daily picks, market strategies, and insights, follow him on X (Twitter) @DustinSaracini.

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