For the second game in a row, the Atlanta Braves have a chance at clinching the 2021 World Series.
The Braves lead the Houston Astros 3-2 in the Fall Classic, but after dropping Game 5 at home, will have to clinch the title on the road in Houston. While Atlanta fans surely would have loved to celebrate on home turf, MLB betting fans are celebrating having one (or maybe two) extra games worth of World Series prop bets to make.
The Braves will send out left-hander Max Fried, who has struggled as of late, while the Astros are countering with Luis Garcia, who has an ERA above 7.00 this postseason.
Here are our favorite MLB player props for tonight’s World Series Game 6 between the Astros and Braves.
Braves vs Astros prop picks
- Riley Over 1.5 total bases (+150)
- Altuve Under 0.5 strikeouts (-120)
- Fried fewer walks than Garcia (+110)
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Braves vs Astros Game 6 props
Life of Riley
Austin Riley has been clutch for the Braves this season. He’s the one bat from the right-handed side that contributes well against right-handed pitching.
During this breakout 2021 season, Riley has seen more than 25 percent his contact against righties be line drives, with just a 36.6-percent ground-ball rate and a BAbip of .384.
Also, let’s not forget that in Garcia’s first start, Riley smacked an RBI double against him to give the Braves the lead — which the Braves never relinquished.
PICK: Austin Riley Over 1.5 total bases (best odds: +150 at DraftKings)
Not even a whiff
It’s extremely hard for southpaws to strike out Jose Altuve. In his last 24 plate appearances against lefties, Altuve has been punched out just three times.
With this bet, we don’t care how Altuve hits the ball, you just want him to hit the ball. We’ll likely see a bunch of grounders from the Astros second basemen, as two-thirds of his ABs against lefties over the last 30 days have resulted in ground balls.
Overall, that works for this bet. He can foul out for all we care.
At home this year, he struck out just 42 times in 295 at-bats. Meanwhile, on the road, he struck out 49 times in 307 at-bats. His OPS is a .929 at home compared to a .750 on the road.
With Game 6 at Minute Maid Park, Altuve is going to be a tough out — and it’s going to be even harder to strikeout him out at the top of the order, even for Fried.
PICK: Jose Altuve Under 0.5 strikeouts (best odds: -120 at DraftKings)
Command and conquer
Max Fried has walked three batters in 21 2-3 innings of work this postseason. He’s been on point, despite allowing 11 runs in his last two games, as he’s inducing grounders, finding the strike zone, and earning his outs.
Meanwhile, Garcia has walked 11 batters in just 13 innings of work. Yet, he has better odds to walk fewer batters than Max Fried? In last Friday's Game 3, Garcia walked four Braves batters in just 3 2-3 innings and he’s walked at least three batters in three of the four games he’s appeared in.
Even against the Red Sox, when Garcia went one inning of work on 33 pitches, he walked three batters. I’ll take that plus money with Max Fried to walk fewer batters tonight.
PICK: Fewest Walks Allowed: Luis Garcia vs Max Fried — Max Fried (best odds: +110 at DraftKings)
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