With a short slate of games to choose from, I've still found enough tantalizing value for today's MLB same-game parlay predictions.
I'm sticking with a trio of evening affairs, starting with the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles in what looks to be a high-scoring clash, before shifting over to Paul Skenes holding court for the Pittsburgh Pirates against the Chicago Cubs.
Below are my full MLB picks for Thursday, May 28.
Today's best MLB SGP picks
| Game | SGP Odds |
|---|---|
 TOR vs  BAL |
+600 |
 CHC vs  PIT |
+365 |
 HOU vs  TEX |
+415 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles SGP: Not the Birdy Boiler!
Patrick Corbin vs. Chris Bassitt in 2026 is a recipe for an Over.
Corbin's surface-level results haven't been too bad, boasting a 3.86 ERA over 44 1/3 innings since debuting with the Toronto Blue Jays earlier this year. But a quick look under the hood tells us he's heading toward a significant statistical correction.
He's got an expected ERA of 5.40 thanks to one of the slowest and least deceptive fastballs in the game. The Baltimore Orioles will exploit his 25th-percentile hard-hit rate, and I'm targeting outfielder Taylor Ward, who projects as having one of the best matchups on the slate, per Batters-Box.
On the other end, Jesus Sanchez has been swinging a hot bat and has owned right-handed pitching this year (.194 ISO). Bassitt doesn't give up a ton of hard contact, but he also misses zero bats. Whether it's a two-hit game or an extra-base hit, Sanchez rounds out this SGP nicely.
If you're hesitant about backing a specific Blue Jays hitter, you can triple-up on Baltimore bats by adding Ward, Tyler O'Neill, and Pete Alonso to the Over instead, bumping the line to +1200.
- Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SN1, MASN
Cubs vs Pirates SGP: Skenes straightens out
Pittsburgh Pirates ace Paul Skenes has hit maybe the roughest patch of his career, allowing nine earned runs over his last 10 innings across two starts.
That won't last. He had allowed one run or less in eight of nine starts before that, including back-to-back scoreless outings where he completed eight innings of work immediately prior to that stumbling block.
His expected ERA for the season remains 2.41 (95th percentile). While the Chicago Cubs exploded for 10 runs and their first victory after 10 straight losses, this is a notable step up in competition. I don't love the price on either individual prop, but sandwiching them together helps get this SGP started on the right foot.
With Colin Rea on the mound, Brandon Lowe is a prime candidate to continue swinging a hot bat. He homered yesterday and is batting .287 with a .346 ISO vs. right-handers.
It's one of the best hitter matchups on the board, according to Batters-Box, along with teammate Oneil Cruz. And if you want to give it a little extra juice, adding Cruz and the Pirates' moneyline pumps the line to +1000.
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Marquee, SportsNet Pittsburgh
Astros vs Rangers SGP: Not everything's bigger in Texas
This is a simple handicap, and almost a polar opposite of the angle I took above in Toronto vs. Baltimore.
I like Nathan Eovaldi and Spencer Arrighetti to keep this score low. The veteran Texas Rangers right-hander keeps the ball on the ground and is still inducing chase and whiff at elite rates (97th and 90th percentiles, respectively). Even if his strikeout rate hasn't followed suit, he's pitching deep enough into games (seven innings or more in four straight) that he can clear this number.
If you're more comfortable going on his outs prop, fair warning that it's at 18.5.
Arrighetti has excelled at limiting hard contact, with a hard-hit rate in the 90th percentile. He's also surrendered just one home run this season, and the Texas offense doesn't worry me with its below-average wRC+ (96). He'll pitch into the sixth, and maybe even finish the frame.
- Time: 9:05 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SCHN, RSN
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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