A pair of postseason hopefuls hit the field at Daikin Park, with the Boston Red Sox visiting the Houston Astros on Monday, August 11.
Boston has Cy Young candidate Garrett Crochet toeing the rubber while Houston counters with Christian Javier in his 2025 debut. My top Red Sox vs. Astros predictions and MLB picks are calling for a Boston win with outfielder Wilyer Abreu doing his part at the dish.
Caesars QuickPick: Our Red Sox vs Astros same-game parlay (SGP)
Red Sox vs Astros prediction
Red Sox vs Astros best bet: Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (+120)
Red Sox vs Astros best bet analysis
Boston Red Sox outfielder Wilyer Abreu has posted a solid .350 wOBA, .251 ISO, and .831 ISO against right-handed pitchers. He has settled into the middle of the Boston lineup of late and hit the Over in this market in five of his past seven games.
He’ll face Houston Astros righty Cristian Javier in his first MLB start since last May, too, so it should be a solid matchup.
Javier issued 15 walks across 14 innings in the minors during his rehab from Tommy John surgery, so I’m anticipating the Red Sox to have plenty of baserunners Monday, and Abreu to have his opportunities to fill out the box score.
Red Sox vs Astros same-game parlay analysis
The Red Sox have the pitching edge with lefty Garrett Crochet continuing to build his Cy Young case and sporting an elite 2.24 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and 2.68 xFIP. Plus, Boston has won each of his past six starts.
Turning to Houston infielder Carlos Correa, he’s batting .291 against lefties this season and is dialed in at the dish with an eight-game hitting streak and .455 average.
Red Sox vs Astros odds
- Moneyline: Boston -171 | Houston +153
- Run line: Boston -1.5 | Houston +1.5
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5
Red Sox vs Astros trend
The Red Sox have hit the run line in 26 of their last 37 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Astros.
How to watch Red Sox vs Astros and game info
| Location | Daikin Park, Houston, TX |
| Date | Monday, August 11, 2025 |
| First pitch | 8:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | NESN, SCHN |
| Red Sox starting pitcher | Garrett Crochet (13-4, 2.24 ERA) |
| Astros starting pitcher | Cristian Javier (2024: 3-1, 3.89 ERA) |
Red Sox vs Astros latest injuries
Red Sox vs Astros weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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